Music · resolved market
Will Playboi Carti release new album in 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1945ddcae20951cf32dbc1663deb2b395ce6951d0c8b3429284007489d0c941c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $218,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $215,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 465 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 66c | 9,314$6,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,202.69 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 65c | 6,777$4,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.66 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b47…2f60backed Yes | 50c | 4,970$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,484.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…0357backed No | 50c | 4,963$2,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,481.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…fab3backed Yes | 44c | 4,201$1,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf72b…0023backed Yes | 50c | 3,256$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 39c | 3,000$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc27…458dbacked No | 68c | 2,989$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…f4f1backed Yes | 29c | 2,565$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 15c | 2,528$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.75 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…5b0fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,476$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 26cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…6868backed Yes | 68c | 2,408$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked No | 61c | 2,286$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3c…1729backed Yes | 63c | 2,071$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…3000backed No | 50c | 2,042$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…21fabacked Yes | 50c | 2,037$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d67…776bbacked Yes | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ece…d632backed No | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5436…acb2backed Yes | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7efd…be64backed No | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked No | 63c | 1,932$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 43c | 1,868$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.62 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…fb24backed Yes | 40c | 1,784$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc641…9ac5backed Yes | 35c | 1,773$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…23eebacked Yes | 48c | 1,676$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb7…f699backed Yes | 2c | 1,645$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4931…e11cbacked No | 77c | 1,618$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bd…9686backed Yes | 26c | 1,592$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 36c | 1,526$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.77 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 1c | 1,416$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b0…4041backed Yes | 72c | 1,393$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed Yes | 22c | 1,346$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 31c | 1,324$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.98 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c93…4087backed Yes | 34c | 1,306$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f7…b65bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,265$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbf…a4bbbacked Yes | 32c | 1,176$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 50c | 1,168$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.66 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c7…e374backed Yes | 1c | 1,153$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e32…1c5ebacked Yes | 51c | 1,077$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d597backed No | 72c | 1,048$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b3…5098backed Yes | 19c | 1,039$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce6…90dabacked Yes | 37c | 1,038$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5643…5390backed Yes | 7c | 959.28$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…d782backed Yes | 11c | 950.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Yes | 77c | 939.34$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 28c | 933.91$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.57 | 226 | 40.3%91 W · 135 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…ab29backed Yes | 44c | 912.42$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed No | 57c | 864.61$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3966…be5fbacked No | 71c | 793.36$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.44 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…0c46backed No | 68c | 734.79$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 43c | 734.76$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.14 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 38cpaid | +107.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x427c…fa38backed Yes | 42c | 726.46$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f80…7ee5backed Yes | 62c | 713.91$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x903e…02e8backed No | 64c | 705.18$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…a2cdbacked Yes | 63c | 704.63$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 19c | 690$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.81 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 25c | 688.43$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.04 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73d7…82b3backed No | 52c | 650$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae88…8f5bbacked Yes | 45c | 648.05$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3b…c3e2backed Yes | 28c | 638.99$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…f247backed Yes | 57c | 600.84$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…10c0backed Yes | 18c | 556.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa763…10e2backed Yes | 12c | 555.85$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…a496backed No | 68c | 551.33$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed Yes | 62c | 550.47$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…d6f9backed No | 57c | 549.99$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +167.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb174…8dabbacked Yes | 38c | 530.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 13c | 516.73$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c41…9b79backed No | 56c | 516.44$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…8360backed Yes | 20c | 513.29$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…2418backed No | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 17c | 474.62$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.36 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…6a01backed Yes | 40c | 457.87$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 36c | 437.21$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.04 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 51c | 435.7$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.45 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2675…2374backed No | 54c | 419.64$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.22 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5d…553cbacked Yes | 20c | 403.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…acfdbacked Yes | 37c | 403.13$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked Yes | 35c | 399.28$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.77 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Yes | 40c | 396.39$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1b…2b79backed No | 42c | 380.16$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +137.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b67…eeefbacked Yes | 10c | 367.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 4c | 365.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8528…d446backed Yes | 55c | 364.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3d…7ea5backed Yes | 27c | 362.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…a5b6backed No | 64c | 361.1$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45f8…6ea2backed No | 32c | 354.98$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +210.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5be6…64f9backed Yes | 68c | 350$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 28c | 347.64$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.83 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes | 41c | 339.45$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Yes | 7c | 331.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed Yes | 10c | 330.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c5…d5a0backed No | 56c | 315.32$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7387…7cc8backed No | 68c | 314.98$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa713…b53dbacked Yes | 16c | 306.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb7…d1c4backed Yes | 34c | 306.42$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 31c | 305.74$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.43 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5e…3d71backed No | 67c | 300.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +345.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5b…6759backed No | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.