NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59c01bc44e93d45986f3c099ebbc4c30e1207c55ff015cd797163070c6e12fde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Clippers, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6d2…cfb1backed Clippers | 34c | 25,525$8,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,809.39 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Warriors | 67c | 16,012$10,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,743.52 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef8…1f8dbacked Warriors | 34c | 11,112$3,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,768.23 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe51…3982backed Clippers | 25c | 7,850$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,879.96 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -8.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Warriors | 44c | 7,050$3,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,092.54 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Warriors | 35c | 3,613$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.27 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Clippers | 22c | 3,504$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,717.82 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Warriors | 77c | 2,856$2,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208.43 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8767…a37fbacked Clippers | 24c | 1,778$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.67 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed Warriors | 41c | 1,302$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.43 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b4…f99dbacked Warriors | 2c | 1,280$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe976…dab5backed Clippers | 51c | 1,170$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Warriors | 72c | 1,079$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.93 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Warriors | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Warriors | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Warriors | 72c | 861.6$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.29 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…5576backed Warriors | 77c | 814.01$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.39 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +85%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Warriors | 34c | 584.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.37 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Warriors | 65c | 573.95$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.07 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Warriors | 76c | 539.23$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.81 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…446cbacked Clippers | 24c | 539.23$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.81 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Warriors | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Clippers | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked Clippers | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Warriors | 76c | 500$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205f…0189backed Warriors | 28c | 490.92$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Warriors | 77c | 474.89$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.67 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Clippers | 22c | 459.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.79 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Warriors | 53c | 443.91$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Warriors | 28c | 426.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.03 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…4e95backed Clippers | 35c | 412.52$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.46 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0dacbacked Warriors | 75c | 401.69$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.92 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b6…bb1cbacked Warriors | 78c | 378.05$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.88 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…17d4backed Warriors | 24c | 369.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Clippers | 23c | 289.77$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.12 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Clippers | 73c | 281.34$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.99 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c8…e7acbacked Clippers | 23c | 260.87$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.87 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Warriors | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4afa…16c1backed Warriors | 59c | 241.73$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d50…c6d3backed Warriors | 79c | 229.66$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Warriors | 60c | 228.89$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.33 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Warriors | 79c | 221.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.37 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…be38backed Clippers | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Clippers | 21c | 198.11$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.69 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x563b…774bbacked Warriors | 79c | 198.03$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.23 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcd…8c5dbacked Warriors | 78c | 170$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +119.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Clippers | 43c | 166.14$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.7 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0952…786dbacked Warriors | 77c | 155.44$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Warriors | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9395…7b2bbacked Clippers | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…3850backed Clippers | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 243 | 36.2%88 W · 155 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2b…e0e6backed Warriors | 80c | 139.34$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…16ebbacked Warriors | 79c | 139.15$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0f…64c0backed Clippers | 30c | 132.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +230.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff3e…c6e3backed Clippers | 80c | 129.91$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked Warriors | 79c | 129.63$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.41 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…0f1fbacked Warriors | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb32d…719ebacked Clippers | 33c | 119.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Clippers | 27c | 110$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…3b7abacked Warriors | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e58…be81backed Warriors | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…3216backed Warriors | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Warriors | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 293 | 55.3%162 W · 131 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…a563backed Warriors | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed Clippers | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Clippers | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcb…8b63backed Clippers | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f52…0380backed Warriors | 77c | 99.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.98 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Clippers | 21c | 98.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.19 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…6c29backed Clippers | 23c | 95.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.65 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8025…ef54backed Clippers | 26c | 91.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930d…748dbacked Warriors | 35c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…1c70backed Warriors | 55c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Clippers | 44c | 87$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6d…6632backed Warriors | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…3c94backed Warriors | 27c | 72.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x449d…d646backed Clippers | 22c | 70$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Clippers | 32c | 67.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.31 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f9…1b4ebacked Clippers | 24c | 66.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e40…e7f1backed Clippers | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd821…5365backed Clippers | 46c | 65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Warriors | 67c | 60.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc3…0915backed Clippers | 31c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1541…c579backed Warriors | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…36f0backed Warriors | 28c | 59.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e2…dc28backed Warriors | 75c | 53.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7c…1fafbacked Warriors | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0227…53b4backed Warriors | 42c | 50.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…2bd3backed Clippers | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed Clippers | 21c | 49.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa52d…9505backed Warriors | 77c | 45.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab79…695fbacked Warriors | 47c | 44.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…7918backed Warriors | 65c | 42.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…e49cbacked Clippers | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2558…9acebacked Warriors | 78c | 41.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b10…91afbacked Warriors | 79c | 36.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…10bdbacked Warriors | 79c | 34.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b06…f4abbacked Warriors | 80c | 32.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Warriors | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde96…5290backed Clippers | 35c | 30.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.