NFL · resolved market
Patriots vs. Broncos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x393557eaf4c3ec53cf4a341d12263914944220359b6f02b703109ce220257641
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Patriotsof Patriots, Broncos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,245,929
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,899,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,245,929 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,879 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Patriots | 78c | 1,014,203$789,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225,007.14 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Broncos | 34c | 760,001$255,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255,830.34 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Broncos | 33c | 611,954$203,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203,646.35 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa41…a7a1backed Patriots | 66c | 605,540$399,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206,206.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Broncos | 38c | 532,153$204,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204,210.97 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Patriots | 59c | 312,082$182,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129,089.75 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Patriots | 65c | 304,954$197,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107,403.64 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Broncos | 33c | 296,502$99,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,146.6 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Broncos | 38c | 252,950$96,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,618.95 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Patriots | 66c | 200,252$132,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,085.23 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Broncos | 35c | 200,000$70,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,000 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Patriots | 72c | 193,431$138,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,099.48 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Broncos | 33c | 186,780$60,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,955.97 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Broncos | 43c | 183,412$78,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,160.95 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Patriots | 66c | 174,813$115,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,938.34 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Patriots | 62c | 168,701$104,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,247.36 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked Patriots | 66c | 151,498$99,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,509.18 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Patriots | 66c | 144,999$95,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,714.09 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Broncos | 34c | 142,106$48,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,262.35 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Patriots | 72c | 129,574$93,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,774.8 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Patriots | 67c | 124,994$83,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,379.54 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Patriots | 68c | 118,818$80,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,456.22 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Broncos | 30c | 117,566$35,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,593.97 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Broncos | 35c | 114,986$40,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,245 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Patriots | 66c | 104,312$68,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,847.86 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Patriots | 65c | 103,703$67,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,296.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Broncos | 34c | 103,558$35,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,209.58 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Broncos | 33c | 100,000$33,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,999.97 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Patriots | 65c | 100,000$65,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,999.89 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Patriots | 65c | 96,458$62,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,760.28 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…9e49backed Patriots | 43c | 93,404$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,404.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Broncos | 59c | 77,857$45,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,935.68 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Patriots | 53c | 77,173$40,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,544.04 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Broncos | 36c | 74,805$26,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,651.55 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Broncos | 33c | 74,096$24,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,580.9 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Patriots | 59c | 73,226$42,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,374.72 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Patriots | 61c | 72,783$44,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,418.57 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Patriots | 71c | 69,853$49,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,991.94 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…8250backed Broncos | 54c | 61,409$33,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,081.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Patriots | 67c | 60,041$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,040.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Broncos | 38c | 59,701$22,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,685.73 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Patriots | 65c | 55,555$36,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,444.25 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Patriots | 49c | 55,461$27,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,049.09 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Broncos | 34c | 53,573$17,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,989.96 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Patriots | 62c | 52,800$32,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,064 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Patriots | 59c | 50,728$29,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,904.51 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…eb01backed Broncos | 32c | 50,385$16,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…5effbacked Patriots | 60c | 50,240$30,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,178.81 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Patriots | 70c | 50,000$35,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Patriots | 65c | 50,000$32,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,500 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…abbabacked Patriots | 69c | 46,473$31,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,474.73 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce4…bb71backed Patriots | 66c | 45,979$30,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,632.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b7…bfe9backed Patriots | 67c | 44,361$29,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,639.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Broncos | 37c | 43,593$16,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,008.42 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Patriots | 58c | 40,468$23,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,094.99 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Broncos | 35c | 40,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Broncos | 59c | 39,787$23,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,474.2 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Patriots | 78c | 38,247$29,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,437.12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Broncos | 34c | 36,752$12,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,564.12 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…5d8ebacked Patriots | 68c | 36,678$24,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,737.4 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Patriots | 69c | 36,485$25,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,310.38 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Patriots | 65c | 34,897$22,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,052.09 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Broncos | 52c | 34,483$17,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,809.21 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Patriots | 65c | 33,500$21,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,724.98 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Broncos | 31c | 33,333$10,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,333.22 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Patriots | 66c | 32,222$21,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,045.94 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Broncos | 31c | 32,056$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Patriots | 58c | 30,150$17,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,765.97 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8365…e9a6backed Broncos | 32c | 30,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Broncos | 38c | 30,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,399.96 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Broncos | 35c | 28,571$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…76b3backed Patriots | 60c | 28,507$17,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,507.46 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Patriots | 68c | 28,177$19,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,980.35 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x771c…18f2backed Broncos | 0c | 28,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Broncos | 35c | 27,131$9,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,495.99 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -7.0wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -48%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Broncos | 1c | 27,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Patriots | 65c | 26,111$17,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,070.97 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Patriots | 69c | 26,053$17,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,154.22 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Broncos | 39c | 25,131$9,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,816.25 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Patriots | 58c | 25,077$14,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,532.34 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7791…af80backed Broncos | 34c | 25,000$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,499.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Patriots | 66c | 24,524$16,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,350 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Broncos | 39c | 24,078$9,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,483.19 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Patriots | 57c | 23,557$13,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,120.36 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73ee…f5c6backed Patriots | 67c | 23,510$15,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,758.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Patriots | 71c | 23,500$16,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,895 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d75…c09fbacked Broncos | 35c | 22,989$8,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,046 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Patriots | 66c | 22,434$14,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,705.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe17b…6f98backed Patriots | 68c | 22,250$15,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Patriots | 79c | 22,222$17,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,768.36 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Patriots | 67c | 22,216$14,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,220.08 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b63…1147backed Patriots | 68c | 22,004$14,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,084.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Patriots | 70c | 20,381$14,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,145.45 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Broncos | 30c | 20,327$6,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,098.15 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7172…4cf3backed Patriots | 67c | 20,022$13,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,579.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Patriots | 65c | 20,000$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…4f91backed Broncos | 1c | 20,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Patriots | 68c | 20,000$13,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,299.99 | 54 | 72.2%39 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Broncos | 35c | 20,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.96 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5248…aabbbacked Patriots | 69c | 19,309$13,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,956.66 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Patriots vs. Broncosthis page
- 1H Spread: Patriots (-2.5)Broncos won
- 1H Spread: Patriots (-3.5)Broncos won
- Courtland Sutton: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- Drake Maye: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- Drake Maye: Rushing Yards O/U 30.5Over won
- Hunter Henry: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Jarrett Stidham: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Jarrett Stidham: Rushing Yards O/U 13.5Over won
- Marvin Mims Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 2.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 23.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 33.5Under won
- Patriots vs. Broncos: 1H O/U 20.5Under won
- Patriots vs. Broncos: 1H O/U 21.5Under won
- Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 23.5Under won
- Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 30.5Under won
- Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 31.5Under won
- Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 33.5Under won
- Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 34.5Under won
- Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 35.5Under won
- Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 40.5Under won
- Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5Under won
- Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 43.5Under won
- Rhamondre Stevenson: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Rhamondre Stevenson: Receiving Yards O/U 18.5Under won
- Spread: Broncos (-1.5)Patriots won
- Spread: Broncos (-2.5)Patriots won
- Spread: Broncos (-3.5)Patriots won
- Spread: Patriots (-3.5)Broncos won
- Spread: Patriots (-4.5)Broncos won
- Spread: Patriots (-5.5)Broncos won
- Stefon Diggs: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- TreVeyon Henderson: Anytime TouchdownNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.