NFL · resolved market

Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 43.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fb524a8bd4a9274a3347f130e97ec434f882cde9c72c6c39a478df8a037b6bc

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 25, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $265,339
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $291,697

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $265,339 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xead1…c76abacked Over	47c	102,204$48,036 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48,035.88	533	48.4%258 W · 275 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Under	53c	85,000$45,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39,949.99	51	54.9%28 W · 23 L	+4.9wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+39.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Under	53c	50,200$26,517 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,683.05	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	+3.3wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x771c…18f2backed Over	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over	47c	17,606$8,275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,274.88	120	55.8%67 W · 53 L	+9.0wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+15%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	47c	10,694$5,026 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,026.34	1,196	49.9%597 W · 599 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f10…76b3backed Under	51c	10,000$5,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,900	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-2.9wins	-0.17per pick	47cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over	49c	10,000$4,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,900	831	47.8%397 W · 434 L	+13.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under	53c	10,000$5,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,700	94	47.9%45 W · 49 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over	47c	10,000$4,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,700	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-3.6wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Under	77c	10,000$7,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,299.99	64	59.4%38 W · 26 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over	48c	7,500$3,575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,574.98	358	48.6%174 W · 184 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	48c	6,865$3,274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,273.55	736	51.2%377 W · 359 L	+25.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88f0…3286backed Under	53c	6,365$3,373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,991.43	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over	23c	6,254$1,438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,438.44	169	55%93 W · 76 L	+15.0wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Under	53c	6,000$3,180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,820	106	48.1%51 W · 55 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Over	48c	5,100$2,448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,448	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under	54c	5,000$2,720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,279.81	221	42.1%93 W · 128 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Over	47c	4,623$2,173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,172.84	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-6.3wins	-0.25per pick	53cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under	58c	4,301$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,801.19	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	36c	4,184$1,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,520.03	502	42.4%213 W · 289 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Under	57c	3,486$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,486	76	61.8%47 W · 29 L	+5.3wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over	39c	3,164$1,246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,246.02	45	55.6%25 W · 20 L	+5.9wins	+0.13per pick	42cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x07aa…deb1backed Over	49c	2,674$1,310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,310.26	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+110.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over	48c	2,500$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	66	47%31 W · 35 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xded2…0758backed Under	56c	1,772$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$771.6	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	42c	1,718$728 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$728.19	238	50.8%121 W · 117 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Under	53c	1,602$849 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$752.89	69	65.2%45 W · 24 L	+9.4wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf38b…b601backed Over	47c	1,600$752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$752	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.8wins	-0.21per pick	45cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	52c	1,570$823 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$746.67	98	55.1%54 W · 44 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x007b…adc6backed Under	63c	1,496$950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$546.14	136	41.9%57 W · 79 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	47c	1,414$669 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$668.95	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-3.4wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	52c	1,110$577 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$532.8	770	52.7%406 W · 364 L	+24.8wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	40c	1,054$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.3	163	49.7%81 W · 82 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Over	47c	1,000$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	392	42.6%167 W · 225 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Under	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+3.2wins	+0.21per pick	59cpaid	+47.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Under	43c	919.77$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$519.77	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	50c	912.81$457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$457.35	758	52.5%398 W · 360 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Under	52c	746.93$386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360.46	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca5…e6c9backed Under	56c	700$394 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306.5	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+2.0wins	+0.11per pick	44cpaid	+17%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over	47c	599$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.53	119	46.2%55 W · 64 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over	37c	525$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.25	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-26%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Under	52c	500$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	86	50%43 W · 43 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Over	47c	470$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.9	64	46.9%30 W · 34 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over	47c	425.53$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	204	43.6%89 W · 115 L	-7.9wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over	23c	420$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.12	684	46.1%315 W · 369 L	+16.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x892f…820ebacked Over	48c	416.67$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc4b…7b6fbacked Over	48c	378.44$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.65	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Under	79c	361.9$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.96	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-3.1wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed Under	60c	321.36$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.31	77	68.8%53 W · 24 L	+4.5wins	+0.06per pick	63cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Over	40c	304.27$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.71	196	51.5%101 W · 95 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c4f…a2fabacked Over	43c	268.42$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.5	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Under	52c	231.94$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.33	105	48.6%51 W · 54 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Over	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	163	46%75 W · 88 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Under	53c	202.02$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.95	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Under	52c	200$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	96	51%49 W · 47 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cd…b74cbacked Over	23c	200$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	191	24.6%47 W · 144 L	-11.8wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85a1…a640backed Under	63c	190$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.3	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	34cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	53c	189.51$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.07	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under	53c	188.68$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.68	53	41.5%22 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4c…de22backed Under	53c	184.26$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.44	22	81.8%18 W · 4 L	+7.8wins	+0.36per pick	46cpaid	+58.9%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0x23f8…d139backed Over	52c	178.85$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Under	54c	133$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.81	94	42.6%40 W · 54 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Under	53c	132.08$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.08	199	54.8%109 W · 90 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadc5…e2afbacked Over	23c	130.04$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.91	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd851…9305backed Under	52c	130$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.4	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	56cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d89…40a4backed Under	78c	128.05$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.17	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under	58c	121.53$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.85	342	47.4%162 W · 180 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under	52c	115.38$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.38	65	70.8%46 W · 19 L	+11.6wins	+0.18per pick	53cpaid	+35.2%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5c54…da2cbacked Under	51c	110.84$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.77	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x376d…9b48backed Under	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed Under	51c	99.98$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.99	58	50%29 W · 29 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e77…4fd2backed Over	41c	96.45$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.84	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5ae…85d1backed Under	53c	94.34$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.34	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Over	47c	89.87$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.24	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b9…4589backed Over	48c	80$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.2	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x486f…b325backed Over	48c	77$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.83	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b0…fd60backed Under	63c	75.54$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.95	34	50%17 W · 17 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d0b…0874backed Under	53c	75.47$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.47	71	50.7%36 W · 35 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c8b…5d3dbacked Over	40c	75.06$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.02	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x392c…0bb4backed Over	37c	65$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-2.4wins	-0.12per pick	47cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed Under	53c	56.6$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.6	91	51.6%47 W · 44 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b80…4400backed Over	39c	56.17$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.77	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe05b…0912backed Over	49c	51.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.22per pick	53cpaid	+42.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over	41c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	149	52.3%78 W · 71 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Over	48c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-5.6wins	-0.18per pick	47cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under	55c	50$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.5	182	45.6%83 W · 99 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over	46c	49.97$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.99	243	52.7%128 W · 115 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a2…9b3fbacked Under	51c	49.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.02	36	75%27 W · 9 L	+6.9wins	+0.19per pick	56cpaid	+43.1%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Over	48c	47.71$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.9	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0a9…c0a7backed Over	40c	45.73$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.29	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6d…2a5bbacked Over	48c	45.38$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.78	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.30per pick	47cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over	31c	43.39$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.55	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-3.0wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-40%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x985e…6894backed Under	53c	43.23$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.32	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.16per pick	54cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Over	46c	42.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.78	304	42.4%129 W · 175 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over	47c	42.8$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.12	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	+6.1wins	+0.17per pick	46cpaid	+32.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Under	51c	40.98$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.28	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fc6…97b7backed Under	54c	39.5$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.17	8	50%4 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Over	53c	39.5$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.77	148	48%71 W · 77 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3299…c118backed Under	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 43.5this page
1H Spread: Patriots (-2.5)Broncos won
1H Spread: Patriots (-3.5)Broncos won
Courtland Sutton: Anytime TouchdownYes won
Drake Maye: Anytime TouchdownYes won
Drake Maye: Rushing Yards O/U 30.5Over won
Hunter Henry: Anytime TouchdownNo won
Jarrett Stidham: Anytime TouchdownNo won
Jarrett Stidham: Rushing Yards O/U 13.5Over won
Marvin Mims Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 2.5Under won
Patriots Team Total: O/U 23.5Under won
Patriots Team Total: O/U 33.5Under won
Patriots vs. BroncosPatriots won
Patriots vs. Broncos: 1H O/U 20.5Under won
Patriots vs. Broncos: 1H O/U 21.5Under won
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 23.5Under won
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 30.5Under won
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 31.5Under won
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 33.5Under won
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 34.5Under won
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 35.5Under won
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 40.5Under won
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5Under won
Rhamondre Stevenson: Anytime TouchdownNo won
Rhamondre Stevenson: Receiving Yards O/U 18.5Under won
Spread: Broncos (-1.5)Patriots won
Spread: Broncos (-2.5)Patriots won
Spread: Broncos (-3.5)Patriots won
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)Broncos won
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)Broncos won
Spread: Patriots (-5.5)Broncos won
Stefon Diggs: Anytime TouchdownNo won
TreVeyon Henderson: Anytime TouchdownNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 43.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event