NFL · resolved market

Spread: Patriots (-3.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc9d3b6adb4ec1d0bd24409bac6537f979720fd2d540e04ce9a5223bf42b9aa6

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Broncosof Patriots, Broncos
Resolved: Jan 25, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,332,615
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,252,344

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,332,615 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 468 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xabb8…bba3backed Broncos	51c	841,477$433,115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$408,362.31	87	47.1%41 W · 46 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Patriots	48c	754,768$361,181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361,180.94	169	55%93 W · 76 L	+15.0wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Patriots	46c	360,031$164,958 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164,957.7	120	55.8%67 W · 53 L	+9.0wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+15%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1f4…544cbacked Broncos	52c	344,451$179,104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165,346.68	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Patriots	51c	318,000$161,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161,259.98	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1af1…0f7bbacked Broncos	59c	252,315$149,725 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102,589.96	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.8wins	+0.18per pick	52cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Broncos	48c	123,116$59,609 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63,506.8	274	54.7%150 W · 124 L	+13.3wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Patriots	50c	97,232$48,531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48,530.52	477	38.6%184 W · 293 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x771c…18f2backed Patriots	0c	68,000$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Broncos	50c	65,000$32,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,500	249	57%142 W · 107 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Patriots	48c	61,770$29,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,649.6	67	64.2%43 W · 24 L	+9.7wins	+0.14per pick	50cpaid	+35.3%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Patriots	50c	52,000$26,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,000	33	66.7%22 W · 11 L	+3.4wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Patriots	49c	50,000$24,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,500	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Patriots	44c	40,245$17,698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,697.98	831	47.8%397 W · 434 L	+13.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Broncos	50c	40,140$20,058 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,081.56	758	52.5%398 W · 360 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Broncos	50c	34,450$17,225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,225	568	52.3%297 W · 271 L	+26.3wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Broncos	49c	30,000$14,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,300	64	51.6%33 W · 31 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Broncos	49c	29,868$14,567 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,300.83	1,196	49.9%597 W · 599 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Broncos	49c	27,298$13,404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,893.62	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Broncos	50c	27,128$13,522 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,606.35	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd289…079fbacked Patriots	22c	22,999$5,085 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,085.26	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Patriots	42c	21,006$8,918 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,917.88	50	42%21 W · 29 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6fd…f43ebacked Patriots	49c	20,408$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Broncos	48c	20,000$9,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,399.93	168	60.7%102 W · 66 L	+18.7wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Broncos	50c	19,449$9,724 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,725.32	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-3.4wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked Broncos	53c	18,730$9,834 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,896.12	56	58.9%33 W · 23 L	+5.1wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Patriots	50c	15,974$7,924 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,923.85	75	57.3%43 W · 32 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Broncos	48c	15,767$7,568 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,198.8	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Patriots	41c	15,215$6,267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,266.51	502	42.4%213 W · 289 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Broncos	51c	14,385$7,396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,989.12	37	67.6%25 W · 12 L	+5.7wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Patriots	27c	13,117$3,503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,503.39	45	55.6%25 W · 20 L	+5.9wins	+0.13per pick	42cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb583…b0b3backed Broncos	48c	12,370$5,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,371.2	28	50%14 W · 14 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Patriots	50c	12,000$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,000	186	50%93 W · 93 L	+9.3wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Broncos	49c	11,649$5,708 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,941.01	770	52.7%406 W · 364 L	+24.8wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f6c…b40cbacked Patriots	50c	10,044$4,995 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,994.98	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cdb…4d30backed Patriots	51c	10,000$5,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,100	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Broncos	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,000	117	50.4%59 W · 58 L	+7.0wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x38ed…4ed7backed Broncos	51c	9,814$5,005 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,809	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Patriots	52c	9,800$5,096 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,095.95	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Patriots	40c	8,359$3,344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,343.71	736	51.2%377 W · 359 L	+25.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58a0…2b5bbacked Patriots	52c	8,309$4,321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,320.91	70	34.3%24 W · 46 L	-7.6wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Patriots	51c	7,843$4,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,037.81	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	56cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Patriots	53c	7,660$4,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,060	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-30%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Patriots	41c	7,510$3,075 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,075.4	207	57.5%119 W · 88 L	+17.5wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Broncos	50c	7,437$3,739 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,697.23	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+3.0wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Broncos	47c	7,021$3,329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,691.36	43	62.8%27 W · 16 L	+4.3wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+24%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Patriots	52c	6,767$3,519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,518.84	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c0…427bbacked Patriots	51c	6,033$3,093 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,093.06	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Patriots	50c	6,000$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.27per pick	53cpaid	+51.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Broncos	51c	6,000$3,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,939.97	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.30per pick	55cpaid	-51%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Broncos	72c	5,936$4,282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,653.61	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe00f…c254backed Patriots	52c	5,562$2,865 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,865.35	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Patriots	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	144	38.9%56 W · 88 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8861…4c2ebacked Patriots	52c	4,957$2,578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,577.67	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb364…f1e3backed Patriots	51c	4,686$2,413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,412.9	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Patriots	42c	4,488$1,887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,887.45	196	51.5%101 W · 95 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6441…4e5bbacked Patriots	50c	4,484$2,242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,242	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-64.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90a0…7e0abacked Patriots	51c	4,019$2,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,049.69	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bab…53e6backed Broncos	51c	3,893$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,893.1	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb436…bb3cbacked Patriots	50c	3,600$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42c1…e644backed Patriots	52c	3,269$1,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,700	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Patriots	51c	3,118$1,599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,598.64	62	46.8%29 W · 33 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Patriots	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	171	44.4%76 W · 95 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Patriots	51c	3,000$1,530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,530	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Broncos	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,500	137	56.2%77 W · 60 L	+8.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7172…4cf3backed Patriots	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Broncos	48c	3,000$1,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,560	152	52.6%80 W · 72 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Patriots	51c	3,000$1,530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,529.93	142	48.6%69 W · 73 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Broncos	48c	3,000$1,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,559.9	53	62.3%33 W · 20 L	+6.4wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Patriots	43c	3,000$1,303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,302.54	221	42.1%93 W · 128 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33e6…0244backed Patriots	46c	2,636$1,206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,206.14	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+2.5wins	+0.19per pick	43cpaid	+60.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…5f3cbacked Patriots	51c	2,610$1,344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,344.19	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x007b…adc6backed Patriots	52c	2,552$1,327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,326.95	136	41.9%57 W · 79 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Patriots	48c	2,400$1,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,140	160	45%72 W · 88 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Broncos	63c	2,385$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$885.2	86	48.8%42 W · 44 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6395…d69dbacked Patriots	50c	2,300$1,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,150	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Broncos	50c	2,292$1,146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,145.88	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Patriots	42c	2,271$943 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$942.7	684	46.1%315 W · 369 L	+16.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Broncos	58c	2,256$1,304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$952.34	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Broncos	50c	2,001$1,003 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$998.01	544	51.7%281 W · 263 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…f62dbacked Broncos	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	53	58.5%31 W · 22 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x205b…dd3cbacked Broncos	65c	2,000$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$699.99	141	48.2%68 W · 73 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea89…0b5fbacked Patriots	51c	1,957$998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$997.96	50	46%23 W · 27 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cda…5905backed Patriots	51c	1,956$998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$997.74	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x48c8…72a4backed Patriots	52c	1,937$1,006 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,006.22	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca5…e6c9backed Patriots	47c	1,890$882 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$881.8	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+2.0wins	+0.11per pick	44cpaid	+17%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8b…c4f6backed Patriots	53c	1,887$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.99	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Broncos	48c	1,860$898 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$962.24	98	55.1%54 W · 44 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Patriots	46c	1,806$827 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$827.44	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Patriots	51c	1,800$918 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$917.96	343	49.3%169 W · 174 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Patriots	50c	1,684$842 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$842.19	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f63…a78dbacked Patriots	53c	1,681$891 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$891	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd65…fcfabacked Patriots	51c	1,629$831 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$830.55	58	32.8%19 W · 39 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4799…d2a3backed Broncos	67c	1,602$1,076 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$526.49	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+83.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Patriots	51c	1,590$816 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$815.66	17	76.5%13 W · 4 L	+3.9wins	+0.23per pick	54cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe374…c88cbacked Patriots	38c	1,550$589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$589	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf484…0e02backed Broncos	52c	1,538$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$738.46	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.6wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Patriots	53c	1,533$805 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$805	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-3.6wins	-0.30per pick	38cpaid	-83.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Patriots	47c	1,502$706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$705.94	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.10per pick	34cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Patriots	50c	1,500$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	105	47.6%50 W · 55 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Patriots (-3.5)this page
1H Spread: Patriots (-2.5)Broncos won
1H Spread: Patriots (-3.5)Broncos won
Courtland Sutton: Anytime TouchdownYes won
Drake Maye: Anytime TouchdownYes won
Drake Maye: Rushing Yards O/U 30.5Over won
Hunter Henry: Anytime TouchdownNo won
Jarrett Stidham: Anytime TouchdownNo won
Jarrett Stidham: Rushing Yards O/U 13.5Over won
Marvin Mims Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 2.5Under won
Patriots Team Total: O/U 23.5Under won
Patriots Team Total: O/U 33.5Under won
Patriots vs. BroncosPatriots won
Patriots vs. Broncos: 1H O/U 20.5Under won
Patriots vs. Broncos: 1H O/U 21.5Under won
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 23.5Under won
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 30.5Under won
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 31.5Under won
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 33.5Under won
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 34.5Under won
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 35.5Under won
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 40.5Under won
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5Under won
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 43.5Under won
Rhamondre Stevenson: Anytime TouchdownNo won
Rhamondre Stevenson: Receiving Yards O/U 18.5Under won
Spread: Broncos (-1.5)Patriots won
Spread: Broncos (-2.5)Patriots won
Spread: Broncos (-3.5)Patriots won
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)Broncos won
Spread: Patriots (-5.5)Broncos won
Stefon Diggs: Anytime TouchdownNo won
TreVeyon Henderson: Anytime TouchdownNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Patriots (-3.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event