TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

TreVeyon Henderson: Anytime Touchdown

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,102
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,055

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,102 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x373a…f4c1backed No64c290.83$186 inWon+$104.710346.6%48 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Yes36c277.78$100 inLost-$10013652.2%71 W · 65 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No65c255.14$166 inWon+$89.323850.8%121 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca5…e6c9backed Yes35c246.37$86 inLost-$85.771855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes29c175$51 inLost-$50.7555345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked No71c174.65$124 inWon+$50.651369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed No70c79.17$55 inWon+$243658.3%21 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ecb…87ddbacked Yes30c66.67$20 inLost-$2011459.6%68 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5281…0f17backed Yes27c60.98$17 inLost-$16.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes20c60$12 inLost-$122227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-46.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…5cacbacked Yes35c42.72$15 inLost-$152458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe93…8d0ebacked No67c15.15$10 inWon+$52360.9%14 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.