NFL · resolved market

Spread: Patriots (-4.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb8c52f913b49429f0c941680f913fe8b9f8170e1176c92c0d2ec6aa609116c5

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Broncosof Patriots, Broncos
Resolved: Jan 25, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,186,667
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,400,486

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,186,667 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 362 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1496…a429backed Patriots	47c	160,000$75,114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75,114	274	54.7%150 W · 124 L	+13.3wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Patriots	46c	104,880$48,245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48,244.8	129	44.2%57 W · 72 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Broncos	53c	100,113$53,458 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46,654.79	120	55.8%67 W · 53 L	+9.0wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+15%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Patriots	45c	100,000$45,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44,999.98	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Broncos	54c	100,000$54,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45,999.92	51	54.9%28 W · 23 L	+4.9wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+39.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Broncos	55c	90,000$49,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,500	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked Broncos	52c	82,159$42,758 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39,401.02	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+3.6wins	+0.19per pick	49cpaid	+39%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf40…87debacked Patriots	49c	80,004$38,810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38,810	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.14per pick	52cpaid	-33%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Broncos	51c	76,695$39,435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37,259.61	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Broncos	54c	71,728$38,626 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,102.12	160	51.9%83 W · 77 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Patriots	46c	45,587$20,873 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,872.95	831	47.8%397 W · 434 L	+13.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Patriots	46c	40,000$18,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,399.98	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Broncos	55c	31,445$17,295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,150.36	169	55%93 W · 76 L	+15.0wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9723…77d8backed Broncos	52c	30,000$15,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,400	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dc6…9889backed Patriots	46c	30,000$13,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,800	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.21per pick	44cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Patriots	48c	28,506$13,598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,598.29	758	52.5%398 W · 360 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x801e…ad90backed Patriots	45c	20,000$9,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,000	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Broncos	52c	20,000$10,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,599.98	312	40.7%127 W · 185 L	-22.0wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Patriots	46c	19,009$8,777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,776.62	770	52.7%406 W · 364 L	+24.8wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Broncos	52c	16,597$8,654 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,942.76	67	59.7%40 W · 27 L	+6.6wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6441…4e5bbacked Patriots	48c	16,500$7,855 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,855	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-64.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Broncos	53c	14,725$7,804 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,920.68	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Broncos	53c	12,500$6,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,849.99	240	56.7%136 W · 104 L	+19.3wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Patriots	46c	12,366$5,641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,641.2	144	50%72 W · 72 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Patriots	47c	12,000$5,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,639.96	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+2.9wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8758…01e0backed Broncos	55c	11,000$6,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,950	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Broncos	55c	10,503$5,744 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,759.01	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Patriots	48c	10,000$4,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,800	135	60%81 W · 54 L	+14.7wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Patriots	48c	10,000$4,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,800	181	40.9%74 W · 107 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Broncos	54c	10,000$5,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,599.97	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+3.0wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Broncos	54c	8,993$4,856 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,136.78	94	47.9%45 W · 49 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a06…3800backed Broncos	53c	8,230$4,362 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,868.17	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	-24%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42eb…72adbacked Patriots	47c	8,082$3,798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,798.13	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Broncos	53c	7,356$3,909 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,446.54	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Patriots	46c	7,183$3,305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,304.75	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-3.4wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b8c…abbabacked Patriots	47c	5,414$2,521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,520.8	71	53.5%38 W · 33 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Broncos	54c	5,220$2,819 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,401.19	206	61.2%126 W · 80 L	+12.3wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Patriots	45c	5,125$2,306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,306.36	373	50.9%190 W · 183 L	+12.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Broncos	54c	5,000$2,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,300	74	64.9%48 W · 26 L	+9.8wins	+0.13per pick	52cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Broncos	53c	5,000$2,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,349.97	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Broncos	55c	4,855$2,670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,184.75	207	55.1%114 W · 93 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Patriots	38c	4,464$1,696 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,696.37	196	51.5%101 W · 95 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Patriots	49c	4,375$2,144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,143.85	97	54.6%53 W · 44 L	+9.1wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+13%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Broncos	80c	4,249$3,398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$850.39	650	48.3%314 W · 336 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Broncos	54c	4,000$2,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,840.18	51	49%25 W · 26 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Broncos	62c	3,848$2,385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,462.83	736	51.2%377 W · 359 L	+25.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Patriots	46c	3,678$1,692 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,691.86	32	71.9%23 W · 9 L	+5.1wins	+0.16per pick	56cpaid	+39.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x069c…c844backed Broncos	58c	3,443$1,992 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,450.43	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Patriots	45c	3,268$1,465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,464.62	1,196	49.9%597 W · 599 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Patriots	45c	3,000$1,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,350	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Patriots	47c	3,000$1,410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,410	150	44.7%67 W · 83 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x205b…dd3cbacked Broncos	53c	3,000$1,580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,420	141	48.2%68 W · 73 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Patriots	45c	3,000$1,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,350	71	52.1%37 W · 34 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5581…cb44backed Broncos	53c	2,879$1,526 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,353.25	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	59cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Broncos	54c	2,766$1,495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,270.78	394	47.7%188 W · 206 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed Broncos	55c	2,727$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,227.27	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Patriots	48c	2,655$1,274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,274.44	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Patriots	47c	2,500$1,180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,180	75	34.7%26 W · 49 L	-9.1wins	-0.12per pick	47cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Patriots	48c	2,346$1,126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,126	249	57%142 W · 107 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Patriots	46c	2,152$985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$985	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Patriots	48c	2,000$955 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$955	268	30.6%82 W · 186 L	-29.2wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Patriots	46c	2,000$920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$920	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+2.2wins	+0.14per pick	55cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8d7…c17bbacked Broncos	55c	2,000$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$900	117	59.8%70 W · 47 L	+8.0wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x23f8…453dbacked Broncos	54c	1,850$999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$851	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe544…3cfcbacked Patriots	48c	1,836$885 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$885.37	55	50.9%28 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Patriots	46c	1,832$843 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$842.74	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7deb…2682backed Broncos	56c	1,786$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$785.71	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Broncos	54c	1,741$946 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$794.21	544	51.7%281 W · 263 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Patriots	46c	1,526$704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$704	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Broncos	55c	1,515$833 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$681.82	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Patriots	12c	1,296$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.96	278	35.3%98 W · 180 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2745…a5fbbacked Patriots	47c	1,169$549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.45	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-59%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Patriots	47c	1,064$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	-4.7wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xad79…7abbbacked Patriots	47c	1,064$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8b…c4f6backed Patriots	47c	1,064$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Broncos	55c	1,050$578 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$472.5	594	53.7%319 W · 275 L	+24.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Broncos	55c	1,044$574 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$469.79	568	52.3%297 W · 271 L	+26.3wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Patriots	46c	1,040$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Broncos	54c	1,000$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460	89	51.7%46 W · 43 L	+5.7wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x497a…650fbacked Broncos	53c	1,000$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8183…70c8backed Patriots	47c	973$453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$452.96	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e52…9434backed Broncos	53c	943.4$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$443.4	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	+7.7wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+13%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa04e…376abacked Patriots	46c	927.11$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.47	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.27per pick	56cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x92e5…efeebacked Broncos	55c	915.23$503 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$411.85	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb1c0…427bbacked Patriots	47c	896.22$421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$421.22	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fc2…9c0dbacked Broncos	55c	800$440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x315b…2f66backed Broncos	54c	726.67$396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$330.67	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+83.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x175f…c1ccbacked Patriots	48c	720.83$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Patriots	47c	706.79$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.19	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	56cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca5…e6c9backed Patriots	47c	700$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+2.0wins	+0.11per pick	44cpaid	+17%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0944…6771backed Broncos	53c	700$371 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$329	71	50.7%36 W · 35 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12c8…4d64backed Broncos	54c	629.63$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289.63	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Patriots	48c	626$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.48	121	51.2%62 W · 59 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0486…fbc2backed Patriots	46c	617.31$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.96	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Patriots	46c	614.98$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.89	47	61.7%29 W · 18 L	+3.8wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x007b…adc6backed Patriots	49c	612.24$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	136	41.9%57 W · 79 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Patriots	48c	612$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.76	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Patriots	49c	602.04$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-3.3wins	-0.10per pick	57cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Patriots	45c	600$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+2.3wins	+0.14per pick	54cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Patriots	48c	600$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288	66	63.6%42 W · 24 L	+9.7wins	+0.15per pick	49cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Patriots (-4.5)this page
1H Spread: Patriots (-2.5)Broncos won
1H Spread: Patriots (-3.5)Broncos won
Courtland Sutton: Anytime TouchdownYes won
Drake Maye: Anytime TouchdownYes won
Drake Maye: Rushing Yards O/U 30.5Over won
Hunter Henry: Anytime TouchdownNo won
Jarrett Stidham: Anytime TouchdownNo won
Jarrett Stidham: Rushing Yards O/U 13.5Over won
Marvin Mims Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 2.5Under won
Patriots Team Total: O/U 23.5Under won
Patriots Team Total: O/U 33.5Under won
Patriots vs. BroncosPatriots won
Patriots vs. Broncos: 1H O/U 20.5Under won
Patriots vs. Broncos: 1H O/U 21.5Under won
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 23.5Under won
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 30.5Under won
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 31.5Under won
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 33.5Under won
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 34.5Under won
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 35.5Under won
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 40.5Under won
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5Under won
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 43.5Under won
Rhamondre Stevenson: Anytime TouchdownNo won
Rhamondre Stevenson: Receiving Yards O/U 18.5Under won
Spread: Broncos (-1.5)Patriots won
Spread: Broncos (-2.5)Patriots won
Spread: Broncos (-3.5)Patriots won
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)Broncos won
Spread: Patriots (-5.5)Broncos won
Stefon Diggs: Anytime TouchdownNo won
TreVeyon Henderson: Anytime TouchdownNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Patriots (-4.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event