NFL · resolved market
Spread: Patriots (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb396be1c57cb41ca2248f91ebde81d87102b4cdcfa4aa6908abb2e1ad4d71be6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Broncosof Patriots, Broncos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $836,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $890,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $836,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 335 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Patriots | 44c | 218,342$96,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,721.2 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Broncos | 54c | 117,024$63,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,798.04 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33d0…f7ebbacked Patriots | 44c | 90,500$39,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,778.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Broncos | 57c | 64,355$36,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,672.51 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Broncos | 57c | 62,913$35,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,326.87 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Patriots | 43c | 62,300$26,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,611 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Patriots | 44c | 50,000$22,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,000 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Broncos | 56c | 50,000$28,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,999.97 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Broncos | 54c | 44,000$23,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,080 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Broncos | 57c | 40,000$22,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,200 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Broncos | 58c | 36,968$21,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,526.44 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked Patriots | 43c | 35,586$15,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,302.03 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Patriots | 43c | 34,544$14,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,837.37 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…079fbacked Broncos | 58c | 29,180$17,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,180.09 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Patriots | 47c | 24,283$11,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,412.94 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Broncos | 51c | 18,867$9,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,202.83 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Broncos | 55c | 18,413$10,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,355.68 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Patriots | 49c | 16,767$8,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,215.83 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…abbabacked Patriots | 46c | 16,637$7,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,653.17 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Patriots | 48c | 15,400$7,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,321 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Broncos | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,450 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4a…0502backed Broncos | 57c | 14,917$8,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,364.2 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Broncos | 56c | 12,712$7,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,593.47 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Patriots | 42c | 11,326$4,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,756.86 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Broncos | 52c | 10,620$5,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,097.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Broncos | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Broncos | 58c | 8,621$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,620.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Patriots | 45c | 8,000$3,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,579.93 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Patriots | 41c | 7,520$3,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,083.12 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Patriots | 43c | 7,186$3,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,090 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Broncos | 54c | 6,447$3,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,948.72 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed Broncos | 57c | 5,263$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.16 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Broncos | 58c | 5,173$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.45 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.36per pick | 53cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Patriots | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.98 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Patriots | 43c | 4,698$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032.29 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Broncos | 57c | 4,584$2,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978.81 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Patriots | 43c | 4,446$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895.65 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…47efbacked Patriots | 46c | 4,208$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.45 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -48%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Broncos | 57c | 3,944$2,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.88 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Patriots | 44c | 3,822$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.39 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Broncos | 57c | 3,368$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Broncos | 65c | 3,334$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.81 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9723…77d8backed Broncos | 54c | 3,300$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Broncos | 58c | 3,238$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.11 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Broncos | 56c | 3,161$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.22 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Broncos | 57c | 3,000$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Broncos | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Broncos | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Broncos | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Broncos | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe13e…c564backed Patriots | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.99 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Patriots | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.99 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Broncos | 57c | 2,869$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.11 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Patriots | 45c | 2,775$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.75 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Broncos | 57c | 2,763$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.09 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Patriots | 44c | 2,734$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.17 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e17…f41ebacked Patriots | 48c | 2,420$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Patriots | 46c | 2,118$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4a…68a2backed Patriots | 44c | 2,010$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2513…91fbbacked Patriots | 48c | 1,896$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…27a4backed Patriots | 45c | 1,850$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.6 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Broncos | 57c | 1,673$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.59 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Patriots | 47c | 1,581$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.01 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Broncos | 57c | 1,526$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.38 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Broncos | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83bf…0ef2backed Patriots | 44c | 1,477$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed Patriots | 44c | 1,374$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.35 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Broncos | 53c | 1,318$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.66 | 211 | 51.2%108 W · 103 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Broncos | 58c | 1,216$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.16 | 290 | 59.7%173 W · 117 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Patriots | 28c | 1,159$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.86 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Broncos | 54c | 1,145$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Broncos | 48c | 1,131$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Broncos | 57c | 1,111$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.62 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Broncos | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.63 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…9d33backed Patriots | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Patriots | 42c | 999.95$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.98 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Broncos | 51c | 951.16$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.07 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…c40cbacked Patriots | 53c | 937.52$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…b17abacked Broncos | 53c | 925$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.75 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Broncos | 47c | 829.49$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.92 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Patriots | 33c | 818.84$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.84 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Broncos | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Broncos | 53c | 799.89$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.95 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Patriots | 42c | 703.04$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.66 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked Patriots | 48c | 627.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Patriots | 45c | 622.43$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf60d…761abacked Broncos | 53c | 622.04$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.92 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Patriots | 50c | 618.13$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…3fb0backed Broncos | 57c | 614.04$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Broncos | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Patriots | 42c | 583.26$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.97 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Broncos | 54c | 566.07$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.29 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Broncos | 54c | 563.64$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.64 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Broncos | 56c | 559.77$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.9 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +14.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Broncos | 54c | 545.45$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.49 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Broncos | 51c | 544.52$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.72 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Broncos | 60c | 542.69$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.42 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Broncos | 55c | 528.27$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.72 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…58ffbacked Patriots | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Patriots | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 278 | 35.3%98 W · 180 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Patriots (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Patriots (-2.5)Broncos won
- 1H Spread: Patriots (-3.5)Broncos won
- Courtland Sutton: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- Drake Maye: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- Drake Maye: Rushing Yards O/U 30.5Over won
- Hunter Henry: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Jarrett Stidham: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Jarrett Stidham: Rushing Yards O/U 13.5Over won
- Marvin Mims Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 2.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 23.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 33.5Under won
- Patriots vs. BroncosPatriots won
- Patriots vs. Broncos: 1H O/U 20.5Under won
- Patriots vs. Broncos: 1H O/U 21.5Under won
- Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 23.5Under won
- Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 30.5Under won
- Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 31.5Under won
- Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 33.5Under won
- Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 34.5Under won
- Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 35.5Under won
- Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 40.5Under won
- Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5Under won
- Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 43.5Under won
- Rhamondre Stevenson: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Rhamondre Stevenson: Receiving Yards O/U 18.5Under won
- Spread: Broncos (-1.5)Patriots won
- Spread: Broncos (-2.5)Patriots won
- Spread: Broncos (-3.5)Patriots won
- Spread: Patriots (-3.5)Broncos won
- Spread: Patriots (-4.5)Broncos won
- Stefon Diggs: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- TreVeyon Henderson: Anytime TouchdownNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.