TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Drake Maye: Anytime Touchdown

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,468
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,033

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,468 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f81…5410backed No1c1,000$10 inLost-$10100%0 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x624f…8d59backed No77c422.07$325 inLost-$325.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Yes28c200$56 inWon+$14413751.8%71 W · 66 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeac2…fd78backed Yes27c200$54 inWon+$146450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+53.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No65c168.59$109 inLost-$109.1523850.8%121 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea1…d215backed Yes27c148.15$40 inWon+$108.15250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked No74c147$109 inLost-$108.781729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xefcc…94f7backed Yes36c140.48$50 inWon+$90.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+114%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked No73c132.88$97 inLost-$971369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed No77c111.54$86 inLost-$85.544944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Yes23c100$23 inWon+$7715944%70 W · 89 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Yes25c100$25 inWon+$7518245.6%83 W · 99 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed No74c70$52 inLost-$51.81947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f1c…0dd0backed No74c60$44 inLost-$44.41643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Yes26c46$12 inWon+$34.041275%9 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+57.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xca65…6746backed Yes26c45$12 inWon+$33.3862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+40%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6132…7665backed No74c44$33 inLost-$32.561650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd70d…c1ffbacked Yes25c40$10 inWon+$30977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+54.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5ff…db1dbacked Yes26c40$10 inWon+$29.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+62.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ced…6c81backed Yes31c38.12$12 inWon+$26.12666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+73.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No73c32$23 inLost-$23.4316045%72 W · 88 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No73c14.26$10 inLost-$10.3410346.6%48 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.