NFL · resolved market
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0b3638a969d1b4a2c2c8b9ff3dda8765f5e0dfb1f1669d3223a7d0764ba1808
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $675,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $723,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $675,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa41…a7a1backed Under | 49c | 204,082$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,081.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 51c | 112,721$57,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,462.35 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Under | 49c | 96,759$47,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,346.48 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Over | 50c | 50,000$25,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,200 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Over | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,000 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Under | 50c | 49,953$24,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,976.65 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Under | 50c | 35,280$17,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,640 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 51c | 25,241$12,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,870.87 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Over | 50c | 24,734$12,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,366.99 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Under | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,599.99 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 52c | 19,852$10,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,319.53 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 48c | 12,202$5,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,344.9 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 12,081$6,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,124.43 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Over | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 52c | 11,398$5,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,891.81 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ff…16a3backed Over | 51c | 11,000$5,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,610 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 49c | 9,219$4,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,669.67 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 51c | 8,302$4,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,234.02 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,240 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 51c | 7,972$4,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,066.7 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 48c | 7,816$3,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,098.99 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…ebf1backed Under | 50c | 7,787$3,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,893.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb93d…f0c4backed Over | 51c | 7,633$3,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,893 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Over | 52c | 6,767$3,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,518.83 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Under | 48c | 6,579$3,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,421.03 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 48c | 6,539$3,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,397.35 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9023…15cbbacked Over | 52c | 6,386$3,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,320.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a15…5e14backed Under | 48c | 6,353$3,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,303.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 52c | 6,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Over | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 51c | 5,499$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820.33 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 52c | 4,600$2,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,391.95 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…371bbacked Under | 48c | 4,157$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,161.53 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Over | 51c | 4,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.93 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Over | 52c | 3,576$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.13 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked Over | 58c | 3,413$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.77 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…53e6backed Under | 53c | 3,221$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…5019backed Over | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 51c | 3,000$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 52c | 2,876$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.52 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Over | 52c | 2,864$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.1 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 2,842$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.84 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b08…395bbacked Under | 48c | 2,548$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…e5efbacked Over | 52c | 2,540$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 14c | 2,159$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x190d…d1ffbacked Under | 48c | 2,145$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf8…6f59backed Over | 52c | 2,139$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 2c | 2,066$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 2,054$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.6 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36b…095dbacked Under | 51c | 2,041$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.18 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +65%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 44c | 1,868$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.15 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…eec8backed Under | 48c | 1,750$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 53c | 1,742$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.28 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…f3aebacked Over | 52c | 1,742$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 50c | 1,637$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.5 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed Over | 51c | 1,626$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.01 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 51c | 1,508$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.92 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Over | 45c | 1,502$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.64 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Over | 51c | 1,498$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.92 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 13c | 1,229$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.5 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +17.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Under | 49c | 1,122$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Over | 53c | 1,111$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.83 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 6c | 1,087$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.84 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 52c | 1,059$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.7 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 51c | 1,045$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.58 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 52c | 1,024$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.48 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 29c | 1,007$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.44 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 49c | 995$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.55 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 9c | 857.71$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.34 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b45…d196backed Under | 49c | 815.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3518…c4aebacked Over | 2c | 800.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Under | 49c | 765.75$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.53 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed Under | 52c | 763.64$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.64 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bab…cf38backed Over | 51c | 755.02$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…e0f1backed Under | 48c | 717.53$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…7d31backed Under | 50c | 717.02$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.51 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 44c | 715.54$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.09 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedeb…7e07backed Over | 52c | 707.36$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…e09dbacked Under | 57c | 706.18$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.18 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 49c | 613$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.63 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x650a…2fc7backed Under | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da6…59fabacked Under | 49c | 575.2$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.35 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Over | 51c | 562.6$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.93 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd6…415abacked Under | 49c | 542.04$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e44…686abacked Over | 52c | 481.83$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…fd60backed Over | 13c | 452.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Under | 56c | 441.64$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.74 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5this page
- 1H Spread: Patriots (-2.5)Broncos won
- 1H Spread: Patriots (-3.5)Broncos won
- Courtland Sutton: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- Drake Maye: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- Drake Maye: Rushing Yards O/U 30.5Over won
- Hunter Henry: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Jarrett Stidham: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Jarrett Stidham: Rushing Yards O/U 13.5Over won
- Marvin Mims Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 2.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 23.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 33.5Under won
- Patriots vs. BroncosPatriots won
- Patriots vs. Broncos: 1H O/U 20.5Under won
- Patriots vs. Broncos: 1H O/U 21.5Under won
- Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 23.5Under won
- Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 30.5Under won
- Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 31.5Under won
- Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 33.5Under won
- Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 34.5Under won
- Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 35.5Under won
- Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 40.5Under won
- Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 43.5Under won
- Rhamondre Stevenson: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Rhamondre Stevenson: Receiving Yards O/U 18.5Under won
- Spread: Broncos (-1.5)Patriots won
- Spread: Broncos (-2.5)Patriots won
- Spread: Broncos (-3.5)Patriots won
- Spread: Patriots (-3.5)Broncos won
- Spread: Patriots (-4.5)Broncos won
- Spread: Patriots (-5.5)Broncos won
- Stefon Diggs: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- TreVeyon Henderson: Anytime TouchdownNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.