TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Stefon Diggs: Anytime Touchdown

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$901
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$871

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $901 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe401…7b88backed No64c406.05$258 inWon+$14823850.8%121 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No66c399.96$264 inWon+$135.9910346.6%48 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b22…107fbacked Yes50c198.04$100 inLost-$1001216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89bc…c6a5backed Yes34c155.88$53 inLost-$5320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8183…70c8backed Yes33c127.27$42 inLost-$42742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24da…f0c1backed Yes34c89.71$30 inLost-$30.520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7413…811ebacked Yes33c70.7$23 inLost-$23.33837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd18…a458backed Yes34c58.88$20 inLost-$204156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ecb…87ddbacked Yes40c50.33$20 inLost-$2011459.6%68 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Yes34c50$17 inLost-$1737556.3%211 W · 164 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.