TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Jarrett Stidham: Anytime Touchdown

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,874
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,886

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,874 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8cfc…4f30backed Yes20c904.52$181 inLost-$180.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab85…81e6backed No80c704.52$564 inWon+$140.91877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+23.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No79c283.17$225 inWon+$58.3723850.8%121 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b22…107fbacked Yes19c139.17$26 inLost-$26.371216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd45…0ae3backed Yes22c92.64$20 inLost-$2050%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f1c…0dd0backed No80c90$72 inWon+$181643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bea…6ce6backed No80c72$58 inWon+$14.41533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3bc9…801ebacked Yes20c58$12 inLost-$11.6475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+67.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed No80c46$37 inWon+$9.21861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No78c41.57$32 inWon+$9.1510346.6%48 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.