TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x57b7…bfe9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
90
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT3470.6%24 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick64cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Copa Colsanitas: Marie Bouzkova vs Panna Udvardybacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$40.71
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Moise Kouame vs Ugo Humbertbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$18.43
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+30%+$19.14
Credit One Charleston Open: Madison Keys vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.12
Copa Colsanitas: Panna Udvardy vs Emiliana Arangobacked Emiliana Arango · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.43
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$24.19
Bucharest Open: Mariano Navone vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.94
Credit One Charleston Open: Iva Jovic vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$45.75
Grand Prix Hassan II: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Luca Van Asschebacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$18.46
Bucharest Open: Alex Molcan vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$33.23
Grand Prix Hassan II: Corentin Moutet vs Marco Trungellitibacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$61.11
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$27.67
Sao Leopoldo: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Hugo Dellienbacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$24.98
Credit One Charleston Open: McCartney Kessler vs Janice Tjenbacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$32.83
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Tomas Etcheverry vs Federico Agustin Gomezbacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$23.94
Credit One Charleston Open: Mayar Sherif vs Yue Yuanbacked Yue Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.83
Credit One Charleston Open: Elvina Kalieva vs McCartney Kesslerbacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$33.12
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Billy Harris vs Alex Molcanbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.48
Miyazaki: Renta Tokuda vs Yu-Hsiou Hsubacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$12.88
Credit One Charleston Open, Qualification: Darja Vidmanova vs Mary Stoianabacked Mary Stoiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.63
Credit One Charleston Open, Qualification: Ayana Akli vs Viktoriya Tomovabacked Viktoriya Tomova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$3.9
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Miami Open: Casper Ruud vs Ethan Quinnbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.68
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21.74
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draperbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.36
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.09
76ers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$28.05
Suns vs. Grizzliesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33.31
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.8
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$282.57
Bulls vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$60.37
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+104.2%+$78.84
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+104.4%+$78.99
Jazz vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+25%+$34.61
76ers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$85.58
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$270.04
Jazz vs. Wizardsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+25%+$19.25
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$946Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+100%+$945.69
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
76ers vs. Clippersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+117.4%+$71.71
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Kings vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Kings vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$107.89
Cavaliers vs. Sunsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$47.29
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+49.9%+$59.85
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$48.41
All 22 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+46.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+63.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$43.37
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Paris FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$74.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.79
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$120.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.18
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$46.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29,722Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$14,639.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Henan FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+28.7%+$45.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+28.2%+$54.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.