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Tennis · resolved market

Credit One Charleston Open, Qualification: Darja Vidmanova vs Mary Stoiana

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mary Stoianaof Darja Vidmanova, Mary Stoiana
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$133,113
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$146,428

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,113 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Mary Stoiana66c9,213$6,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,138.997,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Darja Vidmanova36c7,132$2,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,545.762,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Darja Vidmanova46c6,178$2,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,838.266,67850.7%3,387 W · 3,291 L+265.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Darja Vidmanova37c3,645$1,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,361.488,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Mary Stoiana64c2,599$1,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.1746473.3%340 W · 124 L+27.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Darja Vidmanova39c2,448$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.758,05750.8%4,089 W · 3,968 L+90.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc8e…f961backed Mary Stoiana56c2,144$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.635724.6%14 W · 43 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-30.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Mary Stoiana62c2,100$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.6450731.2%158 W · 349 L-41.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Darja Vidmanova34c2,065$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.651,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked Darja Vidmanova30c1,876$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.2426847%126 W · 142 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Mary Stoiana45c1,800$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.56,79836.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a12…d3febacked Darja Vidmanova65c1,674$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.839247.8%44 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ac7…336cbacked Mary Stoiana64c1,556$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.397639.5%30 W · 46 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Mary Stoiana36c1,548$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.951,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Mary Stoiana70c1,415$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.812,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Darja Vidmanova40c1,326$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.522,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a81…7debbacked Mary Stoiana80c1,302$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.4814564.1%93 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Darja Vidmanova44c1,248$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.632,88149.5%1,427 W · 1,454 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Mary Stoiana52c1,183$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.354,78449.6%2,372 W · 2,412 L+177.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Mary Stoiana62c1,176$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.191,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Mary Stoiana48c1,051$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.5432131.2%100 W · 221 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Darja Vidmanova48c906$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.581,92755.4%1,068 W · 859 L-43.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb58…a62ebacked Darja Vidmanova48c860.96$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.2621767.7%147 W · 70 L-0.8wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Mary Stoiana53c801.14$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.2229241.8%122 W · 170 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc539…5ec2backed Darja Vidmanova9c777.78$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7032843.9%144 W · 184 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39c5…5a2fbacked Darja Vidmanova35c756.14$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.485759.6%34 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71b0…29c1backed Mary Stoiana79c733.81$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.19850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Mary Stoiana63c708.69$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.592,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Mary Stoiana52c667.38$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.243,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Darja Vidmanova36c649.42$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.561,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Mary Stoiana34c600$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3933,89135%1,362 W · 2,529 L+93.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e5f…6cecbacked Darja Vidmanova54c596.3$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32227749.8%138 W · 139 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Darja Vidmanova35c576.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20057349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Darja Vidmanova34c536.9$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.262534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mary Stoiana34c504.43$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.561,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Mary Stoiana51c459.26$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.1141658.7%244 W · 172 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Darja Vidmanova48c442.19$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.854,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Darja Vidmanova42c437$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.891,86248.3%900 W · 962 L-33.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Mary Stoiana52c432.54$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.6961752.5%324 W · 293 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Mary Stoiana55c419.63$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.1439955.4%221 W · 178 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Mary Stoiana69c398.16$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.361,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Darja Vidmanova66c398$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.688650%43 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Mary Stoiana52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.629263%58 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Mary Stoiana35c350$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.547552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Darja Vidmanova35c335.32$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11867836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Darja Vidmanova37c312.89$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.143,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed Mary Stoiana42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1748544.7%38 W · 47 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b8…632abacked Darja Vidmanova30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9014344.1%63 W · 80 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Darja Vidmanova26c294$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751,67553.1%889 W · 786 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Mary Stoiana34c289.96$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.371,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mary Stoiana59c289.24$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.7811,77943.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L+20.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5444…bbdabacked Darja Vidmanova35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033149.2%163 W · 168 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1b6…70ffbacked Darja Vidmanova24c282.33$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7620352.2%106 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Darja Vidmanova31c268$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.937342.6%159 W · 214 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Mary Stoiana35c253$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.455949.2%29 W · 30 L+6.4wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Darja Vidmanova36c229.01$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5132050%160 W · 160 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Mary Stoiana74c220$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.275743.3%328 W · 429 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d2a…d5d0backed Mary Stoiana65c218$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.125062.8%157 W · 93 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd51…ce69backed Darja Vidmanova31c206.84$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.137156.3%209 W · 162 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Darja Vidmanova38c203.16$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.166,86748.9%3,357 W · 3,510 L+61.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Mary Stoiana35c190.12$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.1218957.1%108 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Mary Stoiana36c189.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.5987135.4%308 W · 563 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Darja Vidmanova31c179.62$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.023,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Darja Vidmanova61c169.08$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.185,04141.4%2,087 W · 2,954 L-83.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Mary Stoiana35c165.56$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.161,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Mary Stoiana52c162.8$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1424460.7%148 W · 96 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Mary Stoiana64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2550364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x720c…5d74backed Mary Stoiana58c152.72$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.842138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd421…8531backed Darja Vidmanova38c140.58$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.845064%32 W · 18 L+6.3wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+14.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Darja Vidmanova66c136.61$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902,05347.8%982 W · 1,071 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65cf…5cdebacked Darja Vidmanova49c133.49$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4122646%104 W · 122 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked Darja Vidmanova49c133.49$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4148650.6%246 W · 240 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d5…7c98backed Darja Vidmanova49c133.49$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.417542.7%32 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0028…cba0backed Darja Vidmanova49c133.49$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.41757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc57f…cfffbacked Darja Vidmanova49c133.49$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4116447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe47…a4b1backed Darja Vidmanova49c133.49$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.418951.7%46 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf52…614cbacked Darja Vidmanova49c133.49$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.413145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Darja Vidmanova33c133$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2373745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Darja Vidmanova64c127.47$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.811,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Darja Vidmanova39c127.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5468350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Mary Stoiana35c125$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2519954.3%108 W · 91 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe82c…4d90backed Darja Vidmanova9c123.87$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.444413.6%6 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3542…d286backed Mary Stoiana64c119.33$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.33560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4008…2942backed Darja Vidmanova57c117.94$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.546041.7%25 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Darja Vidmanova22c109.39$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5416718.6%31 W · 136 L-23.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-54.7%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xdb5e…e0f7backed Darja Vidmanova46c108$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6827552%143 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Darja Vidmanova33c105.08$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2134950.4%176 W · 173 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7133…69d6backed Mary Stoiana62c105$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.74637%17 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-31.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Mary Stoiana77c103.48$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.829952.2%156 W · 143 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Darja Vidmanova66c102.02$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2398255.4%544 W · 438 L+3.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Darja Vidmanova36c101.62$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3714850%74 W · 74 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bd…6cecbacked Darja Vidmanova32c100.13$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0423248.3%112 W · 120 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Mary Stoiana61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396,55054.4%3,565 W · 2,985 L+287.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Mary Stoiana61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3912831.3%40 W · 88 L-20.8wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-36.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x5cff…83c4backed Mary Stoiana80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2027664.1%177 W · 99 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Mary Stoiana63c97.19$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9671165.1%463 W · 248 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a7…3576backed Mary Stoiana60c94.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.615258.6%89 W · 63 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…540bbacked Mary Stoiana72c94.59$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.197936.7%29 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x01dc…183ebacked Darja Vidmanova38c92.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.862339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Mary Stoiana78c90$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4855941.9%234 W · 325 L-27.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.