TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3542…d286

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
105
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Premier League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT7262.5%45 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.05
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$15.23
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.54
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.39
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.83
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$13.43
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$10.44
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.69
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$11.17
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$14.73
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$15.27
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$38.5
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.57
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Maze Gaming vs Malvinas Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Malvinas Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.91
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.31
LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.46
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$16.14
LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.17
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+37%+$14.05
LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$39.52
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+32.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-37.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$17.01
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$210.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$155.79
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.