TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,130
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,941

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,130 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x132f…453bbacked Over51c5,911$3,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,901.96933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under49c5,789$2,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,836.4888242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Under41c3,422$1,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.0836054.4%196 W · 164 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5005658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Over59c2,542$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.371145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Over51c2,043$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.0936845.1%166 W · 202 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked Under52c1,535$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.9521251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xebf6…69f2backed Under1c1,250$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Under53c1,044$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.741,52351.5%785 W · 738 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Over50c850.01$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.3475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+87.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under42c825.3$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.12,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Over58c775.86$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.86580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+69.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66da…69b0backed Over50c510$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25528042.5%119 W · 161 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under51c499.99$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.991,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under50c420$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21027954.1%151 W · 128 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7964…f585backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20015758%91 W · 66 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under49c383.59$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.2916738.9%65 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe6f…b760backed Over55c359.99$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16232047.2%151 W · 169 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Under54c323.26$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.2889248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Under61c316.07$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.061,37766.4%914 W · 463 L+77.0wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under50c311.63$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9126650.8%135 W · 131 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under52c305.42$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.8214934.9%52 W · 97 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x97e7…73e4backed Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c14…a9c1backed Over50c272$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1365464.8%35 W · 19 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd2fd…5dabbacked Over50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1259746.4%45 W · 52 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over49c227.84$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.232,36545.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L-58.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Over49c220.77$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.662,03053.7%1,091 W · 939 L+6.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over46c218.64$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.075,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb775…36f5backed Over50c202$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10122956.8%130 W · 99 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over47c192.99$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2928755.1%158 W · 129 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Under51c185.47$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8337453.2%199 W · 175 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x36de…4735backed Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-54%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+37.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xae05…7635backed Under53c169.81$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick42cpaid-65.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2284…e326backed Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4917456.9%99 W · 75 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd62…4e9abacked Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.492360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under52c169.23$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8838049.5%188 W · 192 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Over52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7211150.5%56 W · 55 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over47c144.81$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.752,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b45…077ebacked Over56c142.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.869661.5%59 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked Over49c139.48$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4230236.8%111 W · 191 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under50c134.24$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.742,47424.7%611 W · 1,863 L-316.9wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-51.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x93ab…fc4fbacked Over75c133.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-55.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xace6…a13dbacked Over49c130$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.96058.3%35 W · 25 L+6.6wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Over47c127.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6613541.5%56 W · 79 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Under45c119$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5522941.9%96 W · 133 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Over50c115$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.752352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1369…565ebacked Over55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.094847.9%23 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa73a…27d9backed Over56c107.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.146947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb83b…dc66backed Over50c106.78$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3914851.4%76 W · 72 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3337…780bbacked Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.172951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eb9…8d05backed Over48c102.08$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0814653.4%78 W · 68 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b6c…2acbbacked Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.04666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+36.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed Over50c101.52$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7614344.1%63 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4981246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x428b…4f48backed Over57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.63050%15 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x68b5…5952backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x989e…6529backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5113040%52 W · 78 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over58c99.97$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9745162.3%281 W · 170 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under16c98.85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1340635.7%145 W · 261 L-33.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0925…dda4backed Over55c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.53455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under19c88.94$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5416648.2%80 W · 86 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x146c…b807backed Over57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7240248.8%196 W · 206 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e90…af65backed Over51c87.25$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7511149.5%55 W · 56 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under45c84.09$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.841,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf0…e384backed Over48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3333153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd71c…20b3backed Under53c77.88$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2810339.8%41 W · 62 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf08…12a3backed Under52c75.54$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.478648.8%42 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a65…5864backed Over51c68.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.635349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf057…f531backed Over52c64$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7212760.6%77 W · 50 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8b6…d353backed Over48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.58552.9%45 W · 40 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x92df…9bc2backed Over57c61.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.40per pick54cpaid-74.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x876b…d4a1backed Under43c61.4$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.410452.9%55 W · 49 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf561…f20dbacked Over49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.227646.1%35 W · 41 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fad…6b49backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3793…8f46backed Over50c59.61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.616051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bac…fae6backed Over50c59.4$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.72777.8%21 W · 6 L+6.4wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+44.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over63c58$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.343,54429.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L-289.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c36…e462backed Over49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.523656.4%133 W · 103 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc7d…8895backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2522460.7%136 W · 88 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.534742.9%149 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,89547.8%906 W · 989 L-50.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511849.2%58 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under51c49.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.524850.4%125 W · 123 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a55…3072backed Over50c49.74$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.874250%21 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f8f…b302backed Under50c45.9$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9511358.4%66 W · 47 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Over47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5517864.6%115 W · 63 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43c6…6dc9backed Over47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.558861.4%54 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb391…49e7backed Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.672937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd7e…8970backed Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.679453.2%50 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b8e…c750backed Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.674656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f6a…a9f8backed Over56c41.4$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.44348.8%21 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60e9…8662backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2212652.4%66 W · 60 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed Over50c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1933156.5%187 W · 144 L-1.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf95e…53ffbacked Over52c37.64$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2319849.5%98 W · 100 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over46c37.55$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2881544.4%362 W · 453 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Under52c36.94$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2132857.9%190 W · 138 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x901f…b8b0backed Over47c36.17$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1730158.8%177 W · 124 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1d…7ff3backed Under45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517654.5%96 W · 80 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x252f…2561backed Over47c31.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9156554.2%306 W · 259 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.