CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe86d3da939f0d5613fff5e4ff5332c93558849e238812d2a615d81c48386a790
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Natus Vincere, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,262,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,562,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,262,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,747 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1610…ae49backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 216,623$83,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,051.24 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed Team Falcons | 43c | 99,999$43,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,999.42 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 74,452$24,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,778.07 | 136 | 33.1%45 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 69,999$39,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,099.65 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Team Falcons | 48c | 60,552$28,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,602.81 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 56,007$30,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,243.73 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89dd…f662backed Team Falcons | 66c | 55,597$36,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,903.09 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Team Falcons | 45c | 50,967$23,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,966.82 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…1183backed Team Falcons | 38c | 48,876$18,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,082.89 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Team Falcons | 45c | 39,641$17,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,840.61 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 38,000$22,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,419.96 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Team Falcons | 42c | 36,000$15,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,879.88 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Falcons | 55c | 33,725$18,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,052.81 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Falcons | 45c | 33,061$14,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,183.51 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Team Falcons | 37c | 30,965$11,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,477.68 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Team Falcons | 29c | 27,558$7,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,650.25 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 27,294$18,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,937.32 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Team Falcons | 45c | 26,659$11,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,677.35 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a21…fb6cbacked Team Falcons | 43c | 26,349$11,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,019.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce80…08edbacked Team Falcons | 45c | 26,185$11,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,401.66 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 22,453$10,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,357 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Falcons | 45c | 20,673$9,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,270.85 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe1…4d7fbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 19,368$10,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,845.45 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ac…2f1ebacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 17,127$8,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,300 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 17,030$9,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,584.38 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Team Falcons | 53c | 17,001$9,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,943.39 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 16,000$8,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,799.99 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 15,368$8,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,605.98 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 15,060$9,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,451.57 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 15,000$8,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,825.95 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,549.8 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 14,638$3,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,976.38 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Team Falcons | 41c | 14,398$5,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,494.72 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +19.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Team Falcons | 43c | 13,525$5,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,695.96 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Team Falcons | 43c | 13,452$5,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,667.64 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ee…1391backed Team Falcons | 74c | 13,133$9,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,469.18 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 13,092$6,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,766.32 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…d87cbacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 12,976$4,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,412 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 12,500$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.99 | 223 | 54.7%122 W · 101 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f9…d198backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 12,403$4,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,574.76 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd2…5dedbacked Team Falcons | 43c | 12,077$5,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,880.36 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Falcons | 66c | 12,065$7,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,068.32 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Team Falcons | 43c | 11,635$5,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,631.95 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Team Falcons | 44c | 11,611$5,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,537.49 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9c…b3e0backed Team Falcons | 53c | 11,422$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,422.5 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +70%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 10,850$6,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,107.62 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…2874backed Team Falcons | 62c | 10,802$6,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,136.31 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…2620backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 10,797$4,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,471.79 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Team Falcons | 43c | 10,738$4,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,127.45 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 10,300$5,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,664.95 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Team Falcons | 46c | 10,235$4,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,526.91 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…d471backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699.98 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.91 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 9,600$6,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,463.97 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Team Falcons | 43c | 9,205$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,205.02 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 9,186$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47b3…039cbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 9,000$4,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,849.98 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Team Falcons | 41c | 8,999$3,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,309.41 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa40a…fa62backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 8,973$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570.04 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf716…c4dfbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 8,678$4,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,945.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 8,621$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 8,437$3,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,685.42 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a64…3c0abacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 8,085$4,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,527.81 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked Team Falcons | 46c | 8,000$3,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 7,806$2,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,648.15 | 221 | 29.9%66 W · 155 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16c…a3aabacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 7,586$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 7,568$4,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,208.42 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79be…b605backed Team Falcons | 45c | 7,561$3,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,158.48 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 7,316$5,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.65 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 7,267$4,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,045.89 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb7…fbfabacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 6,900$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +266.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e3…22cbbacked Team Falcons | 43c | 6,866$2,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,910.8 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…06ddbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 6,846$2,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,994.08 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Team Falcons | 45c | 6,667$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,666.67 | 204 | 58.3%119 W · 85 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 6,542$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.55 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 6,000$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,479.99 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Falcons | 34c | 6,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,989.99 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.94 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…9f90backed Team Falcons | 41c | 5,640$2,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,327.58 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 5,517$3,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,607.8 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Team Falcons | 35c | 5,448$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,559.1 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 5,430$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.45 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…ffc1backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 5,124$2,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,472.43 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…b3a2backed Team Falcons | 44c | 5,035$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.78 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Team Falcons | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.99 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3581…7427backed Team Falcons | 61c | 4,850$2,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.38 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…cfd7backed Team Falcons | 67c | 4,843$3,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.28 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 4,747$2,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.44 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcece…ffeebacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 4,740$2,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,597.28 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f6…4814backed Team Falcons | 42c | 4,708$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730.54 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -31%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 4,600$2,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,484.2 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…d02bbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 4,590$3,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,422.67 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 4,522$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.83 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Team Falcons | 46c | 4,500$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,415 | 291 | 27.5%80 W · 211 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Team Falcons | 34c | 4,470$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,932.7 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Falcons | 41c | 4,460$1,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,631.68 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3this page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)Natus Vincere won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)Team Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.