CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35e1de8b929b47e2a4742e2ee688b2b83a25de8452806f85de740a2a02ce7f5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $545,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $648,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $545,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 454 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Falcons | 26c | 59,280$15,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,494.67 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Team Falcons | 27c | 42,600$11,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,670 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 26,474$18,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,536.32 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked Team Falcons | 14c | 23,671$3,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,265.76 | 221 | 29.9%66 W · 155 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Falcons | 40c | 17,042$6,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,837.67 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 16,687$13,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,525.47 | 224 | 68.8%154 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 12,636$6,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,051.6 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Team Falcons | 49c | 11,897$5,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,847.56 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 11,800$6,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,427.99 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Team Falcons | 47c | 10,742$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked Team Falcons | 42c | 10,378$4,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,342.39 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 10,186$6,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,445.44 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe1…4d7fbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 10,092$5,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200.97 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 9,610$5,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,356.91 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 8,420$5,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,373.41 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Team Falcons | 46c | 8,182$3,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,731.81 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 6,996$3,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,161.11 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 6,585$3,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,008.7 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 6,189$3,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,622.25 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…1fb2backed Team Falcons | 43c | 5,878$2,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.62 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 5,062$2,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075.53 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 171 | 62%106 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.96 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Team Falcons | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 4,055$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.63 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 3,950$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.63 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 3,506$2,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.48 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 3,500$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.99 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c2…be71backed Team Falcons | 11c | 3,303$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.25 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…5c67backed Team Falcons | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ac…3e47backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 3,200$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088 | 85 | 64.7%55 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…9f90backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 3,140$2,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.41 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 3,072$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 2,980$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.2 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd2…5dedbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 2,941$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.96 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Team Falcons | 46c | 2,701$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.67 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Team Falcons | 63c | 2,700$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.48 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89dd…f662backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 2,551$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.15 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63f5…09ddbacked Team Falcons | 2c | 2,527$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Falcons | 56c | 2,500$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.94 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Team Falcons | 57c | 2,469$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 2,374$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.74 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons | 47c | 2,358$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.24 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team Falcons | 46c | 2,339$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.59 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 2,292$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.36 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked Team Falcons | 42c | 2,250$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955 | 312 | 53.5%167 W · 145 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Team Falcons | 42c | 2,145$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.64 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aeb…12b2backed Team Falcons | 51c | 2,120$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…cf6fbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 2,100$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.2 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked Team Falcons | 46c | 2,040$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.4 | 354 | 60.7%215 W · 139 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…72cebacked Team Falcons | 43c | 2,014$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.91 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x599a…6ef7backed Team Falcons | 11c | 1,970$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.3 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,945$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.45 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,920$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.85 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb43…4201backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,855$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.81 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Team Falcons | 45c | 1,738$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.33 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 1,702$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.61 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 1,668$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.08 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32f…1496backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,598$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.53 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…afc5backed Team Falcons | 24c | 1,559$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.11 | 196 | 59.2%116 W · 80 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons | 17c | 1,550$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.71 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f61…e259backed Team Falcons | 29c | 1,547$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.62 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 1,539$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.11 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b14…039bbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 118 | 71.2%84 W · 34 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,503$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.62 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,492$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.32 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…59a1backed Team Falcons | 63c | 1,381$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 192 | 38%73 W · 119 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Team Falcons | 46c | 1,380$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 1,376$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.4 | 242 | 33.9%82 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fac…1feebacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 1,364$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.05 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Team Falcons | 45c | 1,350$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.5 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,300$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Team Falcons | 42c | 1,265$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.44 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,250$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.03 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 323 | 46.1%149 W · 174 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac1…df98backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Team Falcons | 43c | 1,180$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.23 | 320 | 42.5%136 W · 184 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Falcons | 38c | 1,149$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.09 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a6…5d97backed Team Falcons | 62c | 1,043$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.08 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,040$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd925…f36fbacked Team Falcons | 38c | 1,032$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.68 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…477cbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,017$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.98 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 1,003$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.02 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…06ddbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Team Falcons | 45c | 999.98$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 999.97$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +14.2wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…2a00backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 974.87$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.43 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 965.35$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.02 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Team Falcons | 62c | 952.38$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.48 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…89f1backed Team Falcons | 63c | 936.51$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 934.29$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.4 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e171backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 910$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.5 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Team Falcons | 44c | 900.76$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e43…6583backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 900$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…56d8backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 890.13$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.38 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 890$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.2 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 889.22$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.99 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1492…a2c9backed Team Falcons | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 818.18$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Team Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)Natus Vincere won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)Team Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.