CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdeb5ff783da792fdaf58b737cf887fc76c1ff82c3084d3da33ea0b17728c7b82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Natus Vincere, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $415,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $502,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $415,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 69,452$11,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,765.1 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Team Falcons | 51c | 52,042$26,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,501.33 | 136 | 33.1%45 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 41,599$20,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,383.75 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,349.97 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed Team Falcons | 50c | 10,000$5,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,983.34 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 9,802$4,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,998.89 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…2874backed Team Falcons | 68c | 7,296$4,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,348.93 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Team Falcons | 58c | 6,153$3,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.34 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 5,939$2,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,656.5 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Natus Vincere | 2c | 5,607$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.93 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x297d…f721backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 5,200$2,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,652 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -74%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x599a…6ef7backed Natus Vincere | 2c | 5,030$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Natus Vincere | 7c | 4,804$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.72 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63f5…09ddbacked Natus Vincere | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 3,920$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 312 | 53.5%167 W · 145 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Team Falcons | 68c | 3,717$2,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.9 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 9c | 3,064$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.39 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Natus Vincere | 1c | 3,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 215 | 22.3%48 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…9f90backed Team Falcons | 51c | 2,938$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.84 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 2,711$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.37 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…2620backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 2,708$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.14 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…477cbacked Team Falcons | 78c | 2,541$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.89 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 2,500$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.5 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aeb…12b2backed Team Falcons | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f9…d198backed Natus Vincere | 15c | 2,468$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.57 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 2,400$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 323 | 46.1%149 W · 174 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 2,357$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere | 23c | 2,125$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.89 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 2,038$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.64 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 2,010$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Falcons | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.99 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,937$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.85 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 4c | 1,861$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.67 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cc…c8ddbacked Natus Vincere | 2c | 1,850$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 92 | 16.3%15 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a6…5d97backed Team Falcons | 59c | 1,587$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.67 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32f…1496backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 1,501$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.31 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…afc5backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 1,501$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.31 | 196 | 59.2%116 W · 80 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 1,500$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…5c67backed Team Falcons | 67c | 1,484$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd2…5dedbacked Natus Vincere | 11c | 1,470$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.29 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 1,403$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.97 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Team Falcons | 58c | 1,387$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.93 | 384 | 54.2%208 W · 176 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 1,376$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.85 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6de3backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,302$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.76 | 426 | 51.6%220 W · 206 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0c…1249backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 1,300$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…63a2backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,282$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.62 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Team Falcons | 50c | 1,278$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.06 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed Natus Vincere | 16c | 1,241$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.5 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 1,199$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.08 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…50d8backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 1,175$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 254 | 16.9%43 W · 211 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Team Falcons | 69c | 1,162$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.73 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 1,094$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.45 | 258 | 46.1%119 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4036…0dd9backed Team Falcons | 48c | 1,053$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.53 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 1,050$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.15 | 90 | 31.1%28 W · 62 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked Team Falcons | 50c | 1,020$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 354 | 60.7%215 W · 139 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Team Falcons | 66c | 999.98$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.99 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5a…1457backed Natus Vincere | 14c | 949.49$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.91 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed5a…656cbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 944.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.65 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Natus Vincere | 11c | 924$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.14 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…81c3backed Team Falcons | 77c | 911.17$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.17 | 159 | 70.4%112 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Falcons | 64c | 900$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 853.59$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.08 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Team Falcons | 50c | 803.58$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.58 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd925…f36fbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 792.93$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.54 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff26…a5ddbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 764.71$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.71 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Natus Vincere | 5c | 706$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5020…36fcbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 678.49$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.29 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…1746backed Team Falcons | 49c | 628.97$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.78 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Team Falcons | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 607.01$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.81 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04db…7703backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 600$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 416 | 45.9%191 W · 225 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 597.43$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.56 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 580$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabcc…10b4backed Team Falcons | 49c | 571.43$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.43 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…5dabbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 569.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.3 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 555$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.15 | 386 | 50.8%196 W · 190 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 538.88$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.78 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…3a19backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 523.49$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.6 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed Natus Vincere | 5c | 510.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Team Falcons | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Natus Vincere | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…6321backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 97 | 23.7%23 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9499…d5bbbacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f70…123dbacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed Natus Vincere | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 316 | 47.5%150 W · 166 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 497.47$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.96 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 494.12$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Natus Vincere | 18c | 450.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.17 | 587 | 55.9%328 W · 259 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 445.46$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.33 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Team Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)Natus Vincere won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)Team Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.