TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
9zof 9z, TheMongolz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$828,748
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$964,425

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $828,748 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 672 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed TheMongolz29c76,886$22,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,632.691,39638.9%543 W · 853 L-41.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed 9z56c52,191$29,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,004.4650054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked TheMongolz47c45,000$21,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,149.944639.1%18 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked 9z78c41,666$32,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,361.322468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed TheMongolz48c30,057$14,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,360.2881843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed TheMongolz33c29,887$9,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,761.5233343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked 9z58c25,026$14,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,592.0241040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed 9z53c18,719$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,718.6933359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae5e…13bebacked TheMongolz50c16,750$8,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,294.9620248.5%98 W · 104 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed 9z53c16,000$8,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,52021048.1%101 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed TheMongolz49c14,053$6,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,937.2846149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked TheMongolz47c13,850$6,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,509.4425655.1%141 W · 115 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed 9z52c11,466$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,465.891,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8a5…26a1backed TheMongolz37c9,158$3,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,390.3315749.7%78 W · 79 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31b0…8bf3backed TheMongolz48c8,933$4,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,287.844136.6%15 W · 26 L-5.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-30.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7e8a…5f49backed 9z68c7,382$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,381.910150.5%51 W · 50 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked 9z57c7,329$4,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,117.4738358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x538a…0823backed 9z52c7,292$3,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,500.14450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x933f…1540backed 9z53c7,047$3,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,312.021855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked TheMongolz36c7,026$2,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,518.8436453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf048…3f29backed TheMongolz51c6,905$3,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,488.76862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+44.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked 9z53c6,604$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,103.7714145.4%64 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked 9z63c6,500$4,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,406.7925555.3%141 W · 114 L+1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7767…4fb2backed 9z53c6,170$3,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,900.0712259.8%73 W · 49 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed TheMongolz49c6,118$3,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,017.2423243.5%101 W · 131 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed TheMongolz36c6,041$2,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,148.7319340.4%78 W · 115 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed TheMongolz54c6,000$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2407450%37 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f4d…09febacked 9z52c5,983$3,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,871.842540%10 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-34.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed 9z67c5,847$3,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,907.6912451.6%64 W · 60 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked TheMongolz48c5,839$2,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,802.621,76859.2%1,047 W · 721 L+105.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6dcd…5ef7backed 9z74c5,162$3,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.2830153.8%162 W · 139 L-1.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked 9z53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,35012956.6%73 W · 56 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed 9z52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.9945058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4505…ec35backed TheMongolz47c4,567$2,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,146.4920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked TheMongolz50c4,304$2,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,161.751,47651.8%765 W · 711 L-4.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked 9z51c4,239$2,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,060.0622449.6%111 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked TheMongolz29c4,026$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.742,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked 9z54c3,994$2,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,837.0627658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked TheMongolz41c3,826$1,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.321,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6aeb…12b2backed 9z46c3,750$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0102958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1032…c372backed 9z53c3,712$1,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,744.497157.7%41 W · 30 L+8.6wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed TheMongolz40c3,705$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.0787047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed TheMongolz50c3,500$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.981,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked 9z45c3,333$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.1122129.9%66 W · 155 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked TheMongolz35c3,304$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.061,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7e3…22cbbacked 9z53c3,151$1,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480.733438.2%13 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x722b…c68bbacked 9z53c3,034$1,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,426.081070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked TheMongolz37c3,003$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.086647%31 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked TheMongolz48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44028538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe70…ffc1backed TheMongolz32c2,897$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.31428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed TheMongolz47c2,823$1,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.8121854.1%118 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d2b…afc5backed TheMongolz42c2,739$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.6519659.2%116 W · 80 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e71…52d1backed 9z53c2,736$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,286.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked 9z69c2,684$1,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.0639157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d66…7799backed TheMongolz47c2,622$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232.332147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked 9z65c2,621$1,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.3544657.2%255 W · 191 L-20.6wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-5.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked 9z58c2,601$1,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.875267.3%35 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed TheMongolz46c2,523$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.622,42944.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L-63.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed TheMongolz39c2,500$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.7988746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ee…a524backed 9z53c2,453$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.831717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.23per pick41cpaid-69.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed 9z52c2,250$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08037157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed TheMongolz20c2,157$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.8751842.3%219 W · 299 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed TheMongolz47c2,150$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.542651.6%220 W · 206 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96d2…2c6fbacked 9z52c2,105$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0011838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-31%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a86…cc01backed TheMongolz34c2,104$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.286136.1%22 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed 9z53c2,100$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98715251.3%78 W · 74 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked 9z70c2,050$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.141,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd6a…4119backed TheMongolz48c2,040$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.393056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked TheMongolz47c2,040$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.7829046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked TheMongolz57c2,005$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.8535460.7%215 W · 139 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5502…d440backed 9z51c2,000$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9901631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-47.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d87…a82bbacked 9z53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9405244.2%23 W · 29 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed 9z62c2,000$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77037057.3%212 W · 158 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed 9z67c2,000$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.2917162%106 W · 65 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed 9z58c1,962$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.815,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed 9z43c1,962$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.1911151.4%57 W · 54 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed TheMongolz31c1,937$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.342,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e42…a2bcbacked 9z57c1,928$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.76650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb43…4201backed TheMongolz48c1,896$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.941844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked TheMongolz43c1,850$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.4858343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed TheMongolz39c1,836$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.9119448.5%94 W · 100 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x851a…de17backed TheMongolz33c1,825$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.219826.5%26 W · 72 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-51.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed TheMongolz29c1,778$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.072,05741.5%853 W · 1,204 L-50.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18f0…3d5ebacked 9z69c1,750$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.54141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked TheMongolz48c1,717$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82432542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd487…053ebacked 9z78c1,704$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.044456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04cf…9f77backed TheMongolz49c1,694$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.065160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed TheMongolz53c1,668$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.8775350.5%380 W · 373 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked TheMongolz46c1,650$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.4997952.4%513 W · 466 L+26.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed TheMongolz44c1,620$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.9414042.1%59 W · 81 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed TheMongolz48c1,601$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.4560434.1%206 W · 398 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked TheMongolz49c1,570$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.211249.1%55 W · 57 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked TheMongolz37c1,502$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.041,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed 9z46c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81096740.7%394 W · 573 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed TheMongolz55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82545455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa453…b665backed 9z51c1,500$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.999655.2%53 W · 43 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43bb…26dbbacked 9z52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.992055%11 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd32f…1496backed TheMongolz37c1,467$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.1312759.1%75 W · 52 L+12.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xef07…bb26backed 9z49c1,450$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.511353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed 9z44c1,434$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.151,03739.8%413 W · 624 L+20.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.