CS2 · resolved market
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23402e70dd57cafa26118dbdedb0b329168842a2a2342f444af1a62cc299b6a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,340
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 50c | 387.16$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.6 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc746…3943backed Over | 55c | 318.96$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.99 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Under | 51c | 308.9$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.36 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 50c | 308.89$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.45 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Under | 50c | 308.89$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.45 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Under | 45c | 308.06$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Over | 49c | 294$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.06 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 54c | 164.22$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.22 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7732…a330backed Under | 51c | 134$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.66 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…9136backed Over | 53c | 116.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed Under | 47c | 116.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…8c1cbacked Over | 47c | 68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 46c | 41.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 22.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9645…4216backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5this page
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 39z won
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner9z won
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner9z won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)9z won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)9z won
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)9z won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.