TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
9zof TheMongolz, 9z
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$133,140
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,575

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,140 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5faf…1183backed TheMongolz17c20,040$3,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,501.310935.8%39 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed 9z63c13,881$8,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,135.9917737.3%66 W · 111 L-16.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked TheMongolz36c13,724$4,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,995.755,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked TheMongolz37c13,387$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00025751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked 9z65c8,954$5,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,133.8325655.1%141 W · 115 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed TheMongolz35c8,212$2,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,874.217643.2%76 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed TheMongolz36c8,108$2,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,901.722,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked 9z69c7,540$5,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,341.211,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf24…dccfbacked 9z67c7,474$4,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,486.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked TheMongolz32c6,255$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,001.7276058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed 9z65c6,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,10071645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked 9z64c5,507$3,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9741,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed 9z68c5,500$3,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,76023848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed 9z62c4,980$3,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,892.4678639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e6…d471backed 9z67c4,475$2,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,490.964264.3%27 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed TheMongolz32c4,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28026952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x387f…2095backed TheMongolz33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9902157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked 9z65c2,888$1,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.781,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9def…6eacbacked TheMongolz33c2,440$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.220358.1%118 W · 85 L+22.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed TheMongolz33c2,224$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73421945.7%100 W · 119 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c2f…d8c2backed 9z66c2,194$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.051662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+31.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed 9z64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.991,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x876b…d4a1backed 9z70c1,754$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.2110452.9%55 W · 49 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed 9z64c1,655$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.7866851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed 9z66c1,596$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.6829449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed 9z64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.536450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked TheMongolz34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51029839.3%117 W · 181 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed TheMongolz34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51018254.9%100 W · 82 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 9z70c1,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.997,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed 9z64c1,475$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.8811151.4%57 W · 54 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked 9z66c1,242$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.2789248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed 9z64c1,149$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.7226344.5%117 W · 146 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked TheMongolz36c1,147$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.9131451.6%162 W · 152 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked TheMongolz33c1,048$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34619546.2%90 W · 105 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed 9z67c999.99$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33016544.8%74 W · 91 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed 9z65c985.83$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.5560248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked TheMongolz34c862.59$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.2817850%89 W · 89 L-0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked 9z66c796$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.6417853.9%96 W · 82 L+0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfaf…d959backed 9z63c789.76$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.763435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed TheMongolz37c779.16$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.7750051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked 9z66c759.98$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.3922266.7%148 W · 74 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b6d…27bbbacked TheMongolz33c757.58$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505052%26 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked TheMongolz34c754.97$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.3348948.9%239 W · 250 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed TheMongolz40c750.13$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012043.3%52 W · 68 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked 9z68c700$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22478963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ad0…6187backed 9z67c700$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2313333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-38.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed TheMongolz33c653.67$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.7148240%193 W · 289 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed 9z62c648.59$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.4649941.7%208 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed 9z64c627.52$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.9111349.6%56 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed TheMongolz38c618.08$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.852,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked TheMongolz34c612.11$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.1235242.9%151 W · 201 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed TheMongolz34c605.33$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20326624.4%65 W · 201 L-26.9wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-33.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdfc9…7552backed 9z67c599.97$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.9916749.1%82 W · 85 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb908…7292backed 9z63c591.26$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed TheMongolz29c565.89$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.9812441.1%51 W · 73 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed 9z57c564.65$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.7435054.6%191 W · 159 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed TheMongolz34c542$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.285,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked 9z63c527.3$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.127753.8%149 W · 128 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed 9z63c473$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.0144343.3%192 W · 251 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc182…1339backed TheMongolz35c457.14$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1609243.5%40 W · 52 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed TheMongolz39c448.31$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17312027.5%33 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x525f…6401backed TheMongolz34c441.18$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503850%19 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cfc…5f4fbacked 9z64c339.78$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.08977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fac…1feebacked TheMongolz35c322.62$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.625850%29 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed 9z64c313.07$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.0721263.7%135 W · 77 L-0.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked TheMongolz34c306.05$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.0648845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked 9z67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9958254.3%316 W · 266 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed TheMongolz37c296.68$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.0422049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed TheMongolz35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed TheMongolz35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005345.3%24 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26c6…1e14backed 9z68c275$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8814544.8%65 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed TheMongolz42c239.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10053850.6%272 W · 266 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed 9z68c227.94$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.9448562.7%304 W · 181 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed TheMongolz33c209.09$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695330.2%16 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked TheMongolz33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665453.7%29 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed TheMongolz33c199.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6752150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed 9z65c199.98$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9926451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9318…22b8backed TheMongolz33c196.97$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6516451.2%84 W · 80 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fb…3f95backed TheMongolz33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed 9z68c150$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486847.1%32 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed 9z64c150$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.111354%61 W · 52 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed 9z78c147.31$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1168659.5%408 W · 278 L+65.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed TheMongolz35c142.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.957149.3%35 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfcf…a26ebacked TheMongolz36c140$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.44822.9%11 W · 37 L-9.0wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-49.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x50f9…c327backed TheMongolz36c137.42$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4717761%108 W · 69 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa8c…8a32backed TheMongolz47c137.32$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.441553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6210…4fb1backed TheMongolz37c135$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.951625%4 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc9e7…56d8backed 9z66c126.64$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.067152.1%37 W · 34 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed 9z65c120$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4237453.2%199 W · 175 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf98b…57bbbacked TheMongolz35c117$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8938157.7%220 W · 161 L-1.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6166…9586backed 9z65c115.38$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.38742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-36.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed 9z66c114.92$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0723861.3%146 W · 92 L+0.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed 9z65c105$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.320353.2%108 W · 95 L+1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked TheMongolz35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3581246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0978…0d99backed TheMongolz33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310441.3%43 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d2f…61eebacked 9z65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353360.6%20 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3056…36c6backed TheMongolz35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+155.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked 9z68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3245162.3%281 W · 170 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x573d…48f3backed TheMongolz40c94.29$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ed3…01e3backed TheMongolz35c90$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.57936.7%29 W · 50 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.