TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,954
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,798

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,954 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x594d…059dbacked Over51c11,467$5,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,857.082152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under49c11,323$5,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,798.0847147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf24…dccfbacked Over50c9,434$4,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,703.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under52c9,051$4,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3145,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under49c5,500$2,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,829.985658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over47c5,018$2,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,358.5936453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.9717045.9%78 W · 92 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Over51c2,941$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd92c…dd9abacked Under48c2,880$1,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,486.565246.2%24 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2972…3f29backed Over51c1,888$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.94933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-38.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under48c1,641$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.432,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Under51c1,615$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.911,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under50c1,260$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.227753.8%149 W · 128 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over47c1,207$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.423653.8%127 W · 109 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under53c1,129$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.462,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed Over51c1,123$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.8432346.1%149 W · 174 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over50c1,110$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.62,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Over48c1,067$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.9835940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5020…36fcbacked Over52c1,003$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.324961.2%30 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under50c1,000$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.126650.8%135 W · 131 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63a7…3bb2backed Over51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc927…a3c2backed Over52c950.08$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.043234.4%11 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick30cpaid-15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe062…f949backed Over51c860$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.64452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed Under50c731.46$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.3714042.1%59 W · 81 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8144…8472backed Over46c684.98$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.547250%36 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under52c674.01$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.42,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf05…5efcbacked Over56c628.78$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.923013.3%4 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-66.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbe0…1bb7backed Over49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick53cpaid-70.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd22c…881fbacked Under49c600.34$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.172100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec23…8852backed Over52c575.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under48c572.37$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.6381244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Under53c530.43$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24989248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed Over45c503.66$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.5117946.4%83 W · 96 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed Under53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23526155.2%144 W · 117 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd3…36c5backed Under49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2552100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+74%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Under43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2851,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37a1…bedfbacked Under52c499.99$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.9910644.3%47 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee54…e5febacked Over48c473.06$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.072352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under53c450.93$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.3950051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e58…5749backed Over52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3a5…cd84backed Over52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006048.3%29 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Under52c371.82$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.4738650.8%196 W · 190 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over46c370$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.5228455.6%158 W · 126 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0c4…8129backed Over4c328.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.174042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb27d…3cc3backed Under74c325.38$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.4616254.3%88 W · 74 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x428b…4f48backed Over53c319.73$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.683050%15 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5b7…1454backed Over48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15014743.5%64 W · 83 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Under52c297.1$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.6131345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e7…73e4backed Under52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.46742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d95…9e68backed Under52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.465440.7%22 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under55c286.02$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.853,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under49c285.71$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1461,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Over48c281.46$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.148240%193 W · 289 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Over55c266.22$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.4274653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9c5…7b85backed Over51c254.9$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67ee…3b01backed Over52c223.1$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.01825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c4…0734backed Over47c220$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.418848.4%91 W · 97 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf6…b29fbacked Over50c219.14$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.578855.7%49 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7772…0e56backed Over47c213$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1110251%52 W · 50 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Over48c210$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.827744.4%123 W · 154 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7b1…7e9abacked Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a2e…e1b2backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020156.7%114 W · 87 L-0.9wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed Over50c205.28$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6932357.6%186 W · 137 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under54c203.99$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.531,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e90…be2bbacked Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Over45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9015648.1%75 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dae…125cbacked Over48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968542.4%36 W · 49 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa72d…1daebacked Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-69.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x09e0…6937backed Over51c197.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec6d…804bbacked Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.085257.7%30 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under50c190.15$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.8640635.7%145 W · 261 L-33.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Under46c189.15$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.366436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over52c188.67$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1130545.9%140 W · 165 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over42c185.17$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.461,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2284…e326backed Under53c184.86$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.8817456.9%99 W · 75 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Under53c181.38$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7526624.4%65 W · 201 L-26.9wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-33.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over26c172.79$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3568659.5%408 W · 278 L+65.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over13c166.95$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.821,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under53c166.04$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0437949.3%187 W · 192 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90c3…3709backed Over51c153.77$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-24.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked Over46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6930236.8%111 W · 191 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over33c142.21$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.142,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed Under46c136.04$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4658745%264 W · 323 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Over48c133.33$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6454543.5%237 W · 308 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3429…38eebacked Over47c127.66$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x660c…7f7abacked Over51c120$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.51637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-36.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Over47c119.67$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2458254.3%316 W · 266 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c119.61$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1369…565ebacked Over51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604847.9%23 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed Over48c111.74$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6414344.1%63 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Over51c110.51$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3620046%92 W · 108 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66da…69b0backed Over51c110$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.128042.5%119 W · 161 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Over47c110$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.713240.9%54 W · 78 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Under49c109.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.137453.2%199 W · 175 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2f7e…d49bbacked Over51c108.46$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.31933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-33.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5754…cefbbacked Over55c106.45$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.559154.9%50 W · 41 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda0d…fb82backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013350.4%67 W · 66 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2983…59d1backed Under52c103.85$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8514544.8%65 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Under53c103$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2722049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Under50c102$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5145162.3%281 W · 170 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.