TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xef07…bb26

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
117
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: AI, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category AI at 52 out of 100; worst Valorant at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT7248.6%35 W · 37 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$561
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,375Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,375.13
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,260Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,740
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$122.21
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$783Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$783
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,445Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+93.3%+$2,281.36
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,283Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,283
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$155.5
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$64.94
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$870Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+96.6%+$840
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$598Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$433.03
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$422.91
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,523Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$2,295.97
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,896Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,896
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,830Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,830
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$692Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$692
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$406
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$777.92
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$688Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$688
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$841Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+78.4%+$659.07
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$91
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,064Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,064
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,520Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$480
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,360
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs ENJOY - Map 2 Winnerbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.89
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,006Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,006.25
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,350Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$1,064.66
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$882Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$882
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$505.23
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$708Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+104.7%+$741.51
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,008
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,007Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$643.5
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,962Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$1,330.77
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,587Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,519.37
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-39.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18,468Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,467.53
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,909Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,908.82
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,939Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,939.34
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$443
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+101.8%+$134.59
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$221
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$165.57
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.67
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$356.02
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,930Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$1,070
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$504.65
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,989Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+77.9%+$4,663.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,775Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,285.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$5,019Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$1,389.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.