TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of KT Rolster, T1
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,038,530
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,178,211

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,038,530 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 950 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd30…f316backed T171c212,106$151,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,482.1222850.9%116 W · 112 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x870f…6da1backed KT Rolster29c149,853$43,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,457.256445.3%29 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked T171c113,583$80,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,043.8796948.6%471 W · 498 L+12.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce29…3b0dbacked KT Rolster29c110,050$32,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,211.496352.4%33 W · 30 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked KT Rolster29c105,481$30,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,289.461,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed T171c100,000$71,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,999.971145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed KT Rolster29c44,100$12,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,842.3912840.6%52 W · 76 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed KT Rolster28c42,857$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,999.9651146.8%239 W · 272 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5286…0d47backed KT Rolster30c36,596$10,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,812.8328137.4%105 W · 176 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07b1…6dfcbacked T171c31,903$22,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,290.043363.6%21 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed T169c31,110$21,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,644.0525946.7%121 W · 138 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed T171c27,923$19,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,174.2519371.5%138 W · 55 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed T171c27,800$19,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,971.5532650.3%164 W · 162 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed KT Rolster26c27,600$7,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,175.9990443.6%394 W · 510 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed KT Rolster31c27,105$8,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,428.156046.7%28 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab44…7ffebacked T180c25,000$19,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,001.0926344.5%117 W · 146 L+18.3wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb487…86d7backed T172c24,807$17,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,060.241442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e9f…0eaebacked KT Rolster28c23,000$6,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,408.052944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked T158c22,738$13,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,639.611,09752.3%574 W · 523 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa103…1c14backed KT Rolster31c20,000$6,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,2006943.5%30 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked T151c18,200$9,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,841.432,01258.1%1,168 W · 844 L+84.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0587…c40bbacked KT Rolster27c17,763$4,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,815.5117045.9%78 W · 92 L+16.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf184…c2d7backed T171c17,500$12,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,149.9914652.7%77 W · 69 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf23c…9f81backed T169c17,387$11,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,431.8316060.6%97 W · 63 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked T171c16,000$11,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,64090348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed KT Rolster27c15,684$4,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,267.881,57155.1%866 W · 705 L+80.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb35f…cf4cbacked KT Rolster32c15,333$4,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,856.1448147.2%227 W · 254 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed T167c15,200$10,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,015.9412642.9%54 W · 72 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1660…5598backed KT Rolster54c15,000$8,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,126.799250%46 W · 46 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked KT Rolster55c14,886$8,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,187.132955.6%183 W · 146 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed KT Rolster29c14,840$4,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,303.638735.9%139 W · 248 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked KT Rolster29c14,500$4,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,149.9714842.6%63 W · 85 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4a7…dc87backed KT Rolster28c14,200$3,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9761330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-38.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed T172c14,000$10,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,92064455.6%358 W · 286 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b9c…704ebacked KT Rolster26c12,817$3,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,317.316167.2%41 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick64cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7986…baa5backed KT Rolster28c12,223$3,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,417.9221647.7%103 W · 113 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed T172c12,221$8,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,421.881,46961.4%902 W · 567 L-20.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e74…5972backed T171c12,173$8,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,530.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed KT Rolster32c12,000$3,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,84021248.6%103 W · 109 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed T169c12,000$8,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7801,44157.4%827 W · 614 L+35.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3170…c6a0backed KT Rolster29c12,000$3,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4801225%3 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-61.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d83…d89cbacked T171c10,986$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,185.9325953.7%139 W · 120 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed KT Rolster35c10,419$3,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,629.931,42838.4%548 W · 880 L-42.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked KT Rolster29c10,345$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.049853.1%52 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked T145c10,283$4,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,655.5230044%132 W · 168 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…a2cbbacked T172c10,239$7,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,907.9424554.3%133 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed T169c10,000$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1001,32753.3%707 W · 620 L+37.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed KT Rolster29c10,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90032534.8%113 W · 212 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked KT Rolster27c10,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7001,50250.3%756 W · 746 L+71.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe548…a9febacked KT Rolster56c10,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,60017954.7%98 W · 81 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed T170c10,000$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0001,01647%478 W · 538 L+21.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x141a…d05abacked T170c9,990$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,989.5122667.3%152 W · 74 L+27.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+36.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0bb8…aa5fbacked KT Rolster0c9,864$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.422281.8%4 W · 224 L-0.5wins0.00per pick2cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2391…554fbacked KT Rolster28c9,192$2,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,56529843.3%129 W · 169 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked T170c8,981$6,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,688.7520346.3%94 W · 109 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked KT Rolster22c8,916$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00022148%106 W · 115 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked KT Rolster31c7,791$2,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,448.731,54062.6%964 W · 576 L+158.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed T168c7,716$5,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,480.3670641.5%293 W · 413 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed T163c7,261$4,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,716.3643542.5%185 W · 250 L+19.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed KT Rolster3c7,254$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.357889.8%77 W · 711 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84fb…675ebacked KT Rolster25c7,100$1,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,768.072454.2%13 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+39%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed KT Rolster26c7,100$1,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,846650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked KT Rolster29c7,065$2,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,017.7695541.7%398 W · 557 L-31.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2383…072fbacked T163c7,000$4,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,589.996845.6%31 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cb0…57e0backed T172c6,800$4,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9047664.5%49 W · 27 L+8.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+24.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed T171c6,703$4,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,945.9159854.2%324 W · 274 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked KT Rolster34c6,600$2,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,24431328.8%90 W · 223 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce7d…898ebacked KT Rolster33c6,593$2,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,175.187252.8%38 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x565c…878dbacked KT Rolster30c6,489$1,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,946.5614032.1%45 W · 95 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3445…d229backed KT Rolster1c6,200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345873.6%21 W · 566 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+176.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed KT Rolster28c6,110$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700.3776642%322 W · 444 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked KT Rolster33c6,061$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2627…fa13backed KT Rolster30c6,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80012040.8%49 W · 71 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed T168c5,986$4,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,934.37035.7%25 W · 45 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd391…b109backed T167c5,970$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,970.1514647.9%70 W · 76 L-16.5wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-17.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xecb7…e8e5backed KT Rolster2c5,500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125462.2%1 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-84.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed T148c5,498$2,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,839.141,00454.5%547 W · 457 L+49.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed T174c5,405$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.4158457.7%337 W · 247 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeed6…d8dabacked KT Rolster34c5,380$1,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,829.342729.6%8 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed KT Rolster28c5,269$1,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,486.5886136.2%312 W · 549 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8813…47e6backed KT Rolster55c5,089$2,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,798.934055%22 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f4…8300backed KT Rolster56c5,089$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,849.817048.6%34 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eae…a3f0backed KT Rolster2c5,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004010%4 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee7c…70f2backed T142c5,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,900.448834%166 W · 322 L+25.8wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked KT Rolster29c5,000$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4509341.9%39 W · 54 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98fe…ffa7backed T144c5,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,799.991457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed T170c4,925$3,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,477.51,59653.7%857 W · 739 L+56.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed KT Rolster31c4,900$1,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50626729.2%78 W · 189 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba43…c6c0backed KT Rolster29c4,730$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.6217648.3%85 W · 91 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef07…bb26backed T152c4,727$2,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,281.367248.6%35 W · 37 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf09b…584ebacked KT Rolster55c4,550$2,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,502.54957.1%28 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ec8…1d07backed T145c4,444$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,444.4412553.6%67 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd1…afdbbacked T173c4,443$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.627258.3%42 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca75…05a6backed KT Rolster28c4,437$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260.9527265.4%178 W · 94 L+24.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed KT Rolster2c4,200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021,06028.5%302 W · 758 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed T150c4,008$2,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,995.893,15933.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L-152.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed T171c4,000$2,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,16082452.7%434 W · 390 L+41.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e77…6d85backed KT Rolster29c4,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1601752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a35…9015backed KT Rolster34c3,813$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30037344%164 W · 209 L-16.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed KT Rolster33c3,812$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,258.031,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.