Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12e3107c45867495c3e597170eee9763b2087f677c8c220c5173ec59e47472f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Under | 54c | 2,135$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.87 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Over | 58c | 1,668$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.84 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 42c | 1,247$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.3 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 46c | 939.99$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.53 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 47c | 795.28$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.67 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f4…148cbacked Under | 55c | 450.6$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.83 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…38f6backed Over | 46c | 435$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Over | 51c | 342.84$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.31 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 45c | 300.52$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.29 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 53c | 292.37$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.96 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13dc…3d01backed Over | 57c | 225$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.5 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 205 | 51.7%106 W · 99 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 46c | 200.93$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over | 42c | 199.55$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.01 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 50c | 192.55$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.42 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66a0…18c3backed Over | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2b…de68backed Over | 68c | 112.7$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c1…026dbacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…d2babacked Over | 46c | 104.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8038…9547backed Over | 56c | 93.06$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Under | 54c | 88.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -14.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 37c | 86.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.98 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Over | 46c | 76.52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.32 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 55c | 72.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 273 | 56.8%155 W · 118 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa764…bbd5backed Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c4…8129backed Over | 58c | 54.85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Over | 46c | 51.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b4…2329backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 46c | 43.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 64c | 38.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 52c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 158 | 23.4%37 W · 121 L | -21.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…42c7backed Over | 37c | 32.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 42c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9269…2900backed Under | 62c | 29.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73a5…95febacked Over | 47c | 26.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 54c | 20.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 453 | 38%172 W · 281 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)KT Rolster won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupT1 won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerKT Rolster won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.