Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75fb8f86c9bffc0c5b5d07fbbe9eb5b8868f33642615ef153f8aea39ffe110bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,611
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 51c | 2,983$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.58 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Under | 49c | 1,923$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.35 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed Over | 50c | 924$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Under | 50c | 918$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Over | 51c | 705.98$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.93 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Under | 49c | 514.29$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 282 | 35.1%99 W · 183 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Under | 49c | 502.5$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.23 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 49c | 315.74$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.71 | 421 | 43.9%185 W · 236 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 361 | 55.4%200 W · 161 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 49c | 275.5$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 49c | 251.19$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.08 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…1224backed Over | 51c | 230.32$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2e…439cbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf3…d220backed Under | 56c | 90.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Over | 51c | 69.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 62.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0324…0bcbbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 44c | 49.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 45c | 40.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009c…049bbacked Under | 52c | 38.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…5badbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 49c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?this page
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)KT Rolster won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupT1 won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerKT Rolster won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.