TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
KT Rolsterof T1, KT Rolster
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,494
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$173,381

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,494 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked KT Rolster57c25,801$14,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,091.991,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3170…c6a0backed KT Rolster59c16,321$9,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,754.631225%3 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-61.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked T141c14,311$5,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,867.5496048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e9f…0eaebacked T143c14,000$5,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,967.722944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed T141c11,785$4,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,865.271,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed KT Rolster59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,10020748.8%101 W · 106 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked T143c9,196$3,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,953.5463944.6%285 W · 354 L-18.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked KT Rolster58c5,172$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,172.229853.1%52 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed T142c4,898$2,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,057.1429447.6%140 W · 154 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked KT Rolster56c4,733$2,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,075.1229443.2%127 W · 167 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa103…1c14backed KT Rolster54c4,245$2,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.986844.1%30 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked T141c4,000$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,639.981,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed T147c3,082$1,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.891,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed KT Rolster58c2,322$1,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked T143c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86032145.5%146 W · 175 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed T142c1,821$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.512,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed T142c1,612$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.661,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed T146c1,304$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed KT Rolster58c1,263$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.4717835.4%63 W · 115 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed KT Rolster57c1,228$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.0710746.7%50 W · 57 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2de2…11a9backed T143c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed KT Rolster58c1,088$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.052,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked T131c1,047$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3253740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0160…1224backed T143c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43023639.8%94 W · 142 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a90…d8debacked KT Rolster52c960.9$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.2314160.3%85 W · 56 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked KT Rolster58c952.71$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.1451348.3%248 W · 265 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34c…2e29backed KT Rolster56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.866746.3%31 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4dd9…5d16backed T139c879.99$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.52540%10 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked T143c844$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.9254934.8%191 W · 358 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6d0…712dbacked T143c700$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30130%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed T143c697.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003429.4%10 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed T142c671.53$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.041,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed KT Rolster58c612.87$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.415858.6%34 W · 24 L+7.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+26.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked T137c576.44$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.4128149.8%140 W · 141 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked KT Rolster57c515.74$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.6450956.2%286 W · 223 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked T142c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21048847.3%231 W · 257 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x807f…9615backed T141c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2053342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d29…65e7backed T145c500$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22618831.4%59 W · 129 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31c7…eca3backed T144c486.28$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21512638.9%49 W · 77 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed T141c453.12$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.781,20743.5%525 W · 682 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8370…cd4fbacked KT Rolster58c431.03$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.032638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91bc…28d6backed T142c357.14$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020957.4%120 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked KT Rolster62c349.19$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.6234151.6%176 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked KT Rolster58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8375630%227 W · 529 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf7…e5dbbacked KT Rolster63c317.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.192650%13 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+54.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed KT Rolster58c310.33$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.3452848.9%258 W · 270 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd0f…3656backed KT Rolster59c291.53$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.533070%21 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+27.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x935d…72f4backed T143c290.72$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.01837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-30.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed T142c284.74$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.5962451.4%321 W · 303 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13ba…53e4backed T142c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011943.7%52 W · 67 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbdd…cd9dbacked T143c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022562.2%140 W · 85 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed T146c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d45…1c86backed KT Rolster57c204.35$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3512251.6%63 W · 59 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8feb…63fcbacked T146c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9221548.4%104 W · 111 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed KT Rolster57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8615861.4%97 W · 61 L+11.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed KT Rolster58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4152441%215 W · 309 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcda7…af42backed KT Rolster59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.493360.6%20 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed KT Rolster58c160.34$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.341,59343.8%697 W · 896 L-74.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked T138c157.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0177741.7%324 W · 453 L-27.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed T142c147$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7446248.9%226 W · 236 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98ba…4212backed T143c135.51$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2712251.6%63 W · 59 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd16…502ebacked KT Rolster59c129.66$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.163363.6%21 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+41.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc094…c8d4backed KT Rolster58c123$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.663554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f2d…4061backed T121c116.93$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257042.9%30 W · 40 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaae…ec88backed T143c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012736.2%46 W · 81 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed T143c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013046.2%60 W · 70 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf464…5076backed KT Rolster58c115.85$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.66475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+44.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked T146c111.56$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3236460.2%219 W · 145 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed T141c105$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0526048.8%127 W · 133 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed KT Rolster55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458447.6%40 W · 44 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6392…52ddbacked T145c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4542049.3%207 W · 213 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked KT Rolster57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4321456.5%121 W · 93 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafbe…cfffbacked KT Rolster58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x312c…0f42backed T150c99.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507642.1%32 W · 44 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed T142c90.63$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0639555.2%218 W · 177 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c29…fe48backed T114c89.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee0e…38bbbacked T145c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4076047%357 W · 403 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c0e…8177backed KT Rolster58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2168253.5%365 W · 317 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed KT Rolster77c85.68$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7597854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bf3…d220backed KT Rolster59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7515953.5%85 W · 74 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32e2…af02backed T142c84$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.281931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-43.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked T143c83.05$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.714042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked T142c74$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0818560.5%112 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed T142c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3092342.7%394 W · 529 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x203a…935fbacked T143c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013964%89 W · 50 L+12.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x69d2…a218backed KT Rolster58c68.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.522948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45e0…cc64backed KT Rolster58c65.12$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.352133.3%7 W · 14 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-45%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked KT Rolster59c62$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4212850%64 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed KT Rolster57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.818051.1%92 W · 88 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed KT Rolster58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2121945.2%99 W · 120 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked T143c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.561746.5%287 W · 330 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43f7…e591backed KT Rolster58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2120748.3%100 W · 107 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde5e…9a9bbacked KT Rolster58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218751.7%45 W · 42 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+25.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe2b…51debacked T142c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204757.4%27 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1607…2c65backed T142c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed T143c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040645.6%185 W · 221 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c09…5badbacked T143c45.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5312261.5%75 W · 47 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2889…edcfbacked KT Rolster59c45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.455550.9%28 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76bb…4548backed KT Rolster56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6434960.7%212 W · 137 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f53…d5abbacked KT Rolster59c44.07$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.071866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+24.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.