Valorant · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7086405690325b293b92a64b43659bc4ea74c82f5c3d8644780f5252d1d3939a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef07…bb26backed Over | 51c | 1,933$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 49c | 1,461$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.72 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 49c | 794.9$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.09 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa4…236cbacked Over | 51c | 756.9$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.96 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 739.93$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.36 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 442.03$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.67 | 936 | 49.3%461 W · 475 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Over | 5c | 250$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Over | 52c | 249.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Under | 49c | 247.36$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.63 | 140 | 32.9%46 W · 94 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 56c | 246.36$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.4 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Over | 44c | 230$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 43c | 219.47$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.1 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Under | 52c | 202.92$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Under | 48c | 156.22$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.23 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 70c | 121.03$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 494 | 55.3%273 W · 221 L | +23.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed Over | 49c | 110$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602f…90eebacked Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…ed59backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b5…ecffbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…6529backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93e5…3b8dbacked Over | 51c | 88.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5add…f36fbacked Over | 57c | 88.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 48c | 81.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 65c | 77.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…c3b2backed Over | 51c | 63.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Under | 52c | 59.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe844…3d42backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Under | 49c | 57.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 49c | 53.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 639 | 48%307 W · 332 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 48c | 51.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…e462backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47d2…1945backed Over | 51c | 49.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b10…523bbacked Over | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aaf…fa1abacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…5fa9backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…8da8backed Over | 55c | 36.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0b…3284backed Over | 52c | 30.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x176b…59a2backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 672 | 50.6%340 W · 332 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8d…4f5cbacked Under | 52c | 24.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeae…17c7backed Over | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Over | 52c | 21.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2b…2372backed Over | 51c | 21.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…776bbacked Under | 52c | 20.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)Team Vitality won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)Team Vitality won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)Team Vitality won
- Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London PlayoffsTeam Vitality won
- Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerTeam Vitality won
- Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerTeam Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.