TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,896
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,406

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,896 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Under50c30,153$15,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,076.555940.7%24 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over49c22,921$11,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,301.3664948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7b5c…4960backed Under52c9,647$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,647.011258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+28.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c4,511$2,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,297.251,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0487…33bdbacked Over50c3,979$1,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,989.37475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+25.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x218d…a9aabacked Over3c3,411$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.47633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick13cpaid+390.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under49c3,208$1,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,635.9510944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.922653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under50c2,866$1,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.771,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef07…bb26backed Over51c2,545$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Over25c2,500$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.9943352.2%226 W · 207 L+19.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Under50c2,400$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2004042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41bb…6302backed Over52c2,193$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1432857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c08…e586backed Over50c1,923$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.39650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84fe…be09backed Over51c1,845$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.941861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0af1…1901backed Over49c1,692$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.721752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8eae…f9d1backed Over51c1,603$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.581225%3 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-46.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over48c1,250$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60033945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over52c1,240$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6456,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Under48c1,229$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.423951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Over50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005160.8%31 W · 20 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under51c1,139$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.1950754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over49c1,084$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.5552150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Over31c1,010$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31311946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.121247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5007834.6%27 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+1.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf595…bfb5backed Under51c999.99$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.993743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under48c999.98$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.9966352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over49c933$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.171,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f63…89f3backed Over50c884.04$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.02560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca5f…7854backed Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c795.16$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.734,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Under50c715$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.518747.1%88 W · 99 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Under74c675.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.681050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Over3c666.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over4c602$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.39853.1%52 W · 46 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x733d…cc26backed Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+52.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e85…9b0bbacked Over51c594.06$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Over51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008843.2%38 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under50c582.38$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.191,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under49c539.69$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.4630448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over48c526.52$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.271,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Under55c454.54$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5423251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf182…4d61backed Over50c447.3$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.651241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under77c436.29$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.938,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over49c420$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.825954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0874…6277backed Over6c408.48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.511346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+67.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2c5…88d0backed Under49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over49c406.49$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.182,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca3b…8a31backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+51.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over39c400$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15668838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067d…1ceebacked Under51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.161450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over12c365.32$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0818140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Over45c350.07$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.536636.4%24 W · 42 L-6.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c6b…7823backed Over52c350$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1822343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under46c276.76$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.4511145.9%51 W · 60 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Over50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1258451.2%43 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked Over52c225$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1171353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over49c204.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4527945.9%128 W · 151 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5029…c8bebacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004346.5%20 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf34f…4d6ebacked Under75c201.32$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.322759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9810747.7%51 W · 56 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8afb…a253backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002454.2%13 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+34.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a30…7b6cbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+53.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf06f…9235backed Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9717…bd55backed Over50c198$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+22.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c188.35$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.414,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c4…8e87backed Over51c184.22$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9835…f8fdbacked Over31c181.12$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.911442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc08…267abacked Over51c156.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807948.1%38 W · 41 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over51c154.27$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.471,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c74…56a2backed Over49c151.86$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf93c…291cbacked Over49c140$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under51c133.51$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7884443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c124.58$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.542,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under50c100.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.866344.4%28 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Over11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1133246.1%153 W · 179 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4925846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Over51c99.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5125559.2%151 W · 104 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3804…6e4ebacked Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Under52c95.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2511158.6%65 W · 46 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe43c…dffbbacked Over49c91.02$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3088…2391backed Over52c83$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.163256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x898f…e9f2backed Over50c79.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.787354.8%40 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3324…3b4cbacked Over17c79$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.453040%12 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed Over23c78.03$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.892334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Under78c78$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.225944%114 W · 145 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under50c77.83$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1355251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5574…482ebacked Under49c71.43$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.433100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56bd…e58dbacked Over52c71.02$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.935044%22 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+29.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Under74c67.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3352461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018150.3%91 W · 90 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over50c61.22$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6141038%156 W · 254 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5c3…13e5backed Under51c60.78$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc980…0a06backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.614238%54 W · 88 L-16.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb5b9…fc3fbacked Over50c59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.51952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Over51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010548.6%51 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f98…96babacked Over52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.