TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,138
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,816

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,138 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed No48c1,952$937 inWon+$1,015.2832653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x98be…5794backed Yes52c500$260 inLost-$2603878.9%30 W · 8 L+13.2wins+0.35per pick44cpaid+73.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x036b…ead4backed No49c469.18$230 inWon+$239.281392.3%12 W · 1 L+7.1wins+0.55per pick38cpaid+211.5%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xb267…5f55backed Yes52c430$224 inLost-$223.63141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed No50c350.7$175 inWon+$175.723850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe8c…639cbacked Yes50c317.7$159 inLost-$158.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Yes51c309.08$157 inLost-$157.3425657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd190…e445backed Yes51c304.8$155 inLost-$155.453756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No43c225.05$97 inWon+$128.2822656.6%128 W · 98 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed No48c196.43$95 inWon+$101.4350954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Yes52c192.31$100 inLost-$10013037.7%49 W · 81 L-14.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Yes52c175$91 inLost-$9178445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x920e…7873backed Yes57c157.89$90 inLost-$9011645.7%53 W · 63 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x02e0…3741backed Yes52c134.62$70 inLost-$702138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked Yes51c128.35$65 inLost-$65.4633049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86ee…511fbacked No49c111.22$54 inWon+$56.726145.9%28 W · 33 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa706…4b9ebacked Yes52c100$52 inLost-$524259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0a2…b58ebacked Yes51c75.43$38 inLost-$38.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb1…0073backed No49c71.43$35 inWon+$36.4314953%79 W · 70 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb602…1ab1backed Yes52c67.31$35 inLost-$351136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-36.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9af…4884backed Yes51c58.82$30 inLost-$302352.2%12 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7b3…fec6backed Yes52c57.52$30 inLost-$29.91650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked No49c57$28 inWon+$29.0719748.2%95 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd032…5136backed Yes57c52.89$30 inLost-$3011450.9%58 W · 56 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked No40c51.5$21 inWon+$30.924949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a03…4066backed No49c51.02$25 inWon+$26.021070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+36%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x508c…a6f2backed Yes52c48.08$25 inLost-$25250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eb6…9e4dbacked Yes62c48.06$30 inLost-$306259.7%37 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Yes52c33.48$17 inLost-$17.4192058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Yes54c30$16 inLost-$16.241227.4%113 W · 299 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+94.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb94…a015backed No49c29.99$15 inWon+$15.34360.5%26 W · 17 L+7.0wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+41.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9808…3cccbacked Yes51c29.2$15 inLost-$153066.7%20 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb653…b87fbacked Yes52c28.85$15 inLost-$1580%0 W · 8 L-4.3wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2a16…5ce9backed Yes52c28.6$15 inLost-$14.871369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+46.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked No45c28.55$13 inWon+$15.720155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x30de…1f9dbacked Yes57c26.32$15 inLost-$156759.7%40 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yes51c25$13 inLost-$12.7510757%61 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4d3…4801backed Yes60c23.08$14 inLost-$13.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb35…162dbacked Yes59c20$12 inLost-$11.82770.4%19 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.