NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ade8d06b496cadb82c74a9d58a872422ea3117e62347e693c83968ed2c37cf7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 67c | 2,098$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.18 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 32c | 1,214$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.59 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 1,199$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.39 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 20c | 1,005$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.05 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Under | 64c | 941.39$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.39 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Over | 38c | 800$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5184…d17abacked Under | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 29c | 722.77$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.37 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 33c | 529.23$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.14 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…6e53backed Under | 63c | 405.22$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.22 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbf…99c2backed Under | 64c | 390.78$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8d…da9dbacked Over | 38c | 345.24$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.19 | 126 | 29.4%37 W · 89 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebf…ff4abacked Under | 64c | 312.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba3…c891backed Under | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd888…e929backed Under | 65c | 246.28$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…f5d4backed Over | 22c | 240.9$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 37c | 239.27$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.26 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b47…7acebacked Over | 38c | 236.84$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 36c | 222.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 8c | 220.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +24.4wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Over | 5c | 219.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 38c | 175.24$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.59 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 63c | 163.75$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.59 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb021…a359backed Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5afa…df73backed Under | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 37c | 112.66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed Over | 22c | 109.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…203abacked Over | 22c | 109.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 62c | 107.32$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9632…a379backed Over | 22c | 104.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…f7e6backed Over | 22c | 89.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d8…e1b3backed Over | 36c | 83.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Under | 63c | 79.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8378…0090backed Under | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 40c | 78.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b06…aa2ebacked Over | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…a84abacked Under | 61c | 75.77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 370 | 37.3%138 W · 232 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…c7e6backed Under | 63c | 59.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…b241backed Under | 60c | 51.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 35c | 51.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 259 | 54.4%141 W · 118 L | +34.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…9b21backed Under | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd23…0318backed Under | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88d4…2e6bbacked Under | 64c | 39.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +39%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7b…9825backed Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +4.8wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 62c | 31.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a4…c659backed Under | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…c15fbacked Under | 64c | 31.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd032…5136backed Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1d…5ae6backed Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 62c | 28.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 62c | 28.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b9…6d67backed Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 38 | 94.7%36 W · 2 L | +14.0wins | +0.37per pick | 58cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…f109backed Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -14%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 64c | 17.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Knicks won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 100.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 103.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 201.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 18.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.