NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ae98654504067c7780fa9fc96eb49a73afb5a973b6dea95c6bd93c128ee9285
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 48c | 10,023$4,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,206.96 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 8,307$3,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,716.27 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 75c | 1,949$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.28 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 7c | 1,050$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 46c | 738.7$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.28 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Over | 74c | 679.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Over | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 337 | 49.3%166 W · 171 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 27c | 631.5$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.56 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd85c…4b42backed Over | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +270.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 492.23$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.88 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1be7…a6e3backed Over | 29c | 466.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.21 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 12c | 408.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Over | 12c | 400$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 25c | 379.25$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.43 | 259 | 54.4%141 W · 118 L | +34.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 25c | 345.48$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.69 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Over | 75c | 332.08$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 18c | 303.4$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +24.4wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 48c | 271.17$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.01 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 73c | 231.15$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.37 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 28c | 224.48$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.63 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…e326backed Over | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…1a03backed Over | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 65c | 200$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5de…33b5backed Over | 54c | 181.67$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 32c | 173.38$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.32 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 52c | 172$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.48 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 34c | 152.45$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 62c | 148.97$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.34 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff6…521ebacked Over | 72c | 138.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 137 | 57.7%79 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f2…18f1backed Over | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 38c | 123.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29d8…e1b3backed Under | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Over | 27c | 109.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 259 | 44%114 W · 145 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 45c | 106.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.31 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 31c | 105$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.45 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb94…a015backed Under | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 46c | 102.95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.54 | 253 | 40.3%102 W · 151 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…cbfebacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…f5d4backed Under | 55c | 96.36$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 49c | 89.15$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.79 | 326 | 54.6%178 W · 148 L | +22.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 29c | 86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 31c | 83.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.29 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Under | 24c | 75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.75 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Under | 27c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +323.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 25c | 58.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.81 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 25c | 52.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 24c | 52.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.71 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 24c | 50.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed37…5849backed Under | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fd…d003backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d52…df50backed Over | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 54c | 44.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 25c | 43.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Over | 76c | 33.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over | 57c | 30.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 52c | 29.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 144 | 64.6%93 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 52c | 27.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 519 | 46.8%243 W · 276 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 43c | 26.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 317 | 48.9%155 W · 162 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Over | 54c | 25.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…d0c8backed Over | 75c | 20.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -7.8wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x86b9…6d67backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 38 | 94.7%36 W · 2 L | +14.0wins | +0.37per pick | 58cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…f7e6backed Under | 68c | 18.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 71c | 14.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 360 | 45%162 W · 198 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Knicks won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 100.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 103.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 201.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 18.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.