NBA · resolved market
1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeea329325c562c7913b9b47360e8dbf5e7b9754c517edf3155b24ad245707d16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7538…40f9backed Spurs | 55c | 3,641$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks | 47c | 2,930$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.38 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Knicks | 46c | 2,788$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.45 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks | 47c | 1,753$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.59 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Knicks | 47c | 1,494$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.33 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Spurs | 51c | 1,214$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.86 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Spurs | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.11 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Knicks | 46c | 1,071$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.85 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Knicks | 42c | 1,069$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.37 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Spurs | 54c | 960.3$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.74 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa826…f823backed Spurs | 54c | 925.85$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.85 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed Spurs | 53c | 888.73$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.73 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Knicks | 46c | 799.99$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…a268backed Spurs | 54c | 702.39$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Spurs | 54c | 607.37$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.39 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed Knicks | 49c | 529.59$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.47 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Spurs | 54c | 450$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Knicks | 46c | 415.69$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.22 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Knicks | 25c | 368.19$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.36 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +24.4wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bc…e09bbacked Knicks | 49c | 308.66$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Spurs | 53c | 293.33$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.33 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…848ebacked Spurs | 52c | 284.62$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.62 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…884abacked Knicks | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 258 | 50%129 W · 129 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…c7a7backed Knicks | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Knicks | 39c | 135.72$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29e6…0bd1backed Spurs | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.3wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…42a7backed Spurs | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…a97ebacked Spurs | 55c | 101.82$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…e316backed Spurs | 50c | 101.52$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Spurs | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…0fd1backed Spurs | 54c | 77.78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76fb…5ef5backed Knicks | 48c | 64.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Knicks | 49c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Spurs | 54c | 59.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Knicks | 49c | 50.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked Knicks | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Knicks | 49c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 361 | 53.5%193 W · 168 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…193fbacked Spurs | 49c | 40.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Knicks | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Knicks | 42c | 39.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -7.8wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…d171backed Spurs | 51c | 39.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe985…7d24backed Spurs | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5c…7ca6backed Spurs | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed Knicks | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Knicks | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x552e…f28dbacked Spurs | 54c | 19.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Knicks won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 100.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 103.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 201.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 18.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.