TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,734
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,743

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,734 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes52c4,748$2,461 inLost-$2,461.4720155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked No48c1,500$722 inWon+$777.7433049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked No48c1,250$600 inWon+$65027746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x036b…ead4backed No50c1,231$616 inWon+$615.811392.3%12 W · 1 L+7.1wins+0.55per pick38cpaid+211.5%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked No48c1,042$500 inWon+$541.6718748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No49c949.44$468 inWon+$481.881,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Yes53c941.22$495 inLost-$495.111957.9%11 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked No48c889.1$426 inWon+$462.7124949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Yes52c484.75$250 inLost-$25014443.8%63 W · 81 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes50c410$205 inLost-$20517326.6%46 W · 127 L+0.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Yes50c400$200 inLost-$20013037.7%49 W · 81 L-14.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed No49c338.22$165 inWon+$173.2223850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0fd…a91ebacked Yes55c272.79$150 inLost-$1509353.8%50 W · 43 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe444…fa95backed Yes50c243.84$122 inLost-$121.922356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+43.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc7b…8fb6backed No48c236.33$113 inWon+$122.89475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x59a8…eb4ebacked Yes50c230$115 inLost-$1154850%24 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked No44c155.79$69 inWon+$87.2411145.9%51 W · 60 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0484…e0eebacked Yes50c150$75 inLost-$754129.3%12 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb94…a015backed No47c106.42$50 inWon+$56.274360.5%26 W · 17 L+7.0wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+41.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed No48c100$48 inWon+$52.1143052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a2…68a0backed Yes50c100$50 inLost-$5015351%78 W · 75 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Yes50c100$50 inLost-$50560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaec8…c5d4backed No48c83.33$40 inWon+$43.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a03…4066backed No48c62.5$30 inWon+$32.51070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+36%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked No50c60$30 inWon+$3020951.7%108 W · 101 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb42…7e5cbacked No55c54.58$30 inWon+$24.582343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4389…6109backed Yes48c52.08$25 inLost-$25966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+52.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes54c42.59$23 inLost-$22.884443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed No47c42.56$20 inWon+$22.562147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes53c30$16 inLost-$15.965630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x60d2…4268backed No50c30$15 inWon+$15862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Yes49c27.81$14 inLost-$13.6341227.4%113 W · 299 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+94.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No45c25$11 inWon+$13.759853.1%52 W · 46 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x93c9…3676backed No48c24.62$12 inWon+$12.81172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+49%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked No47c21.28$10 inWon+$11.281464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+31.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc5b…90afbacked Yes50c20$10 inLost-$105561.8%34 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb653…b87fbacked Yes50c20$10 inLost-$1080%0 W · 8 L-4.3wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2c5c…d7cebacked Yes53c18.87$10 inLost-$10616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick54cpaid-67.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.