TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$143,709
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$143,446

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,709 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb85…152fbacked Over51c39,528$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0009945.5%45 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under50c14,754$7,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,437.4155251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under49c14,547$7,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,375.0310944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under53c9,410$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,41048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over50c8,500$4,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,25020155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Under50c7,319$3,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,659.5811137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over47c5,729$2,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,720.366,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6768…4ef1backed Over47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,349.99616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick46cpaid-68.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Over47c4,645$2,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,183.4217147.4%81 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Under53c4,600$2,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1623100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under53c3,774$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.5838946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50043438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over49c2,956$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,453.2823742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over50c2,696$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.5865939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under50c2,567$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.4664948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under52c2,455$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.711,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under52c2,419$1,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.092,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over47c2,082$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.534,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Over49c2,006$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9832356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+101.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Under52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.081060%6 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+40.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.8514251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Over49c1,600$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78468944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Over50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over49c1,577$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.6686641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under53c1,500$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.9948054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over47c1,413$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.2525954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x72de…53ffbacked Under52c1,340$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.38850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c1,323$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.734,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under76c1,236$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.828,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over41c1,220$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.191,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008450%42 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over29c1,010$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.81,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8476…dc8dbacked Under53c956.42$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.522850%14 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Over49c860.19$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.875839.7%23 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under52c851.39$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.6714842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under50c824$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41266352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under53c821.23$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.2318241.2%75 W · 107 L-17.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Under52c769.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.234042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Over49c702.04$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3448350.6%42 W · 41 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under50c659.38$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.6930448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Over48c637.72$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.1110248%49 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under49c627.21$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.8838947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under52c625$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed Over49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012147.1%57 W · 64 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21e7…c843backed Under49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3061553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Over48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49f7…4871backed Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2506055%33 W · 27 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+17%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5804…e356backed Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+77%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xae53…d80bbacked Over24c399.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9640952.1%213 W · 196 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under53c378$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.661,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over5c325.71$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6125045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4412…a488backed Over51c315$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.651442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc789…7972backed Over49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15016146.6%75 W · 86 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Over49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15019443.3%84 W · 110 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over47c299.99$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.9910747.7%51 W · 56 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under53c274$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.7834850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb79f…88e8backed Over49c255.1$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17b0…4055backed Over51c244.9$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.92133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10d3…db5bbacked Over50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+65.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x172d…130dbacked Under51c235.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over13c231.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4718140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under51c207.99$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9152150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over49c205$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4527945.9%128 W · 151 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cbd…a3a4backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008050%40 W · 40 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e52…9434backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007150.7%36 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025850%129 W · 129 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Under54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929438.3%36 W · 58 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.31560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd424…bf7bbacked Over47c191.49$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905750.9%29 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3aba…74c0backed Under53c189.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.151861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c85…6950backed Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over47c183.47$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2315759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05cd…0f0ebacked Over50c180$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd57d…f5d4backed Over30c176.65$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc29…1d0bbacked Under51c176.47$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+68.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under50c176$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6774…a1e0backed Over51c174.77$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-63.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99df…23e4backed Under52c174.74$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09b9…493ebacked Over50c170$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf872…00b6backed Under52c167.31$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.31560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc717…1b59backed Under51c166.67$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.673100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27ff…59e1backed Over49c163.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa63…46e2backed Over50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8739…8b9abacked Under51c156.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb54…d452backed Under53c143.6$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.421560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over49c143.06$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.221,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Over49c118.6$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c6…2d29backed Over30c117.11$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.134431.8%14 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f13…203abacked Over30c117.11$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.131952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9632…a379backed Over31c113.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.131546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033246.1%153 W · 179 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23a8…5fe0backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f61…f488backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509642.7%41 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4925846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd863…baf3backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483129%9 W · 22 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-40.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Over37c98.95$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8218941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4acb…74fcbacked Under53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Under54c83.33$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3322844.7%102 W · 126 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf779…f365backed Under53c82.77$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under51c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.260049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.