TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$223,753
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$221,336

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $223,753 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Over46c108,303$50,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,113.455940.7%24 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under54c60,000$32,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,610.3425352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over42c33,344$13,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,903.7385742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under54c22,718$12,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,507.7964948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under53c22,489$12,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,480.1955251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Under56c8,929$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,929.2211654.3%63 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under54c6,159$3,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,863.074,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Under54c5,556$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,555.564042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over25c5,252$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.271,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under54c4,789$2,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2262,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e3a…55babacked Under54c4,600$2,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,116911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick40cpaid-79.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over45c4,068$1,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,830.5311145.9%51 W · 60 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over25c4,010$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.556646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Under64c3,494$2,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.8319246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over47c2,853$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340.7423742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under54c1,698$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.084,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under53c1,620$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.592,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Over46c1,578$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.9217250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over47c1,259$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.8965939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under80c1,140$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.391,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Under54c1,100$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5062665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+30.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Under54c1,100$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5061163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over47c1,053$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.7130448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47020155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under55c942.82$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.441,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under52c912.31$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.9114842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed Over47c845.4$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.3429556.6%167 W · 128 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over46c829.13$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.425651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Over47c799.98$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.9968944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under54c657.74$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.61,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under60c654$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.754355.8%24 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under53c597.97$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.0543438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under54c528.89$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.293259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23586641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over46c421.83$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.6635129.6%104 W · 247 L+1.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over45c395.16$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.821,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under54c371$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.731,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6450954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under78c263$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9253842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over47c249.99$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.086,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under55c243$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.3534850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Over46c230$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.812450.8%63 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under54c216.05$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.4166352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b4d…c525backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over14c196.83$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.618140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x72db…1029backed Over26c196$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.56757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Over46c195.5$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.934047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under53c190.32$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.3684443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.19560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Over46c183.61$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4622453.1%119 W · 105 L+29.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd57d…f5d4backed Over29c182.75$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1101…dfd5backed Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.823444.1%15 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over8c179$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.39853.1%52 W · 46 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb1c6…2d29backed Over28c178.12$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.454431.8%14 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f13…203abacked Over28c178.12$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.451952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under75c177$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2554549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Under54c175.93$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9329046.9%136 W · 154 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9632…a379backed Over28c171.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.941546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Over46c169$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7414049.3%69 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6964…a82fbacked Over46c165$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.91612.5%2 W · 14 L-5.2wins-0.32per pick45cpaid-77%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xffef…dabfbacked Over46c154$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.841643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over46c136.17$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6418653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf75…cd85backed Under75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under54c130.2$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.841,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafae…ca54backed Over27c121.35$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.173333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Over46c116$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.365133.3%17 W · 34 L-8.6wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under54c113.69$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.315759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb54…d452backed Under55c109.93$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.351560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ed3…95d7backed Over46c102.17$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.382941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Over25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Over48c83.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.987360.3%44 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe9f6…f7e6backed Over31c79.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.531553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Over46c78.26$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3621843.6%95 W · 123 L-15.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Over47c74$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7814649.3%72 W · 74 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1992…30e2backed Over27c72.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.625839.7%23 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83f6…25b6backed Over47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305846.6%27 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under55c63.8$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8626755.1%147 W · 120 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over46c60.6$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8841038%156 W · 254 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6195…388abacked Over46c57$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.225756.1%32 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe997…f92ebacked Under53c55.55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.112975.9%22 W · 7 L+6.2wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+39.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x847c…9ff8backed Under56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.571181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick54cpaid+53.6%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Over25c52.02$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2237652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Over46c52$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0727450%137 W · 137 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a13…5e5cbacked Over25c51.28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa00e…73fabacked Under54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2316951.5%87 W · 82 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Over46c48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0836153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x051a…54c6backed Over46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over44c41.79$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3921149.3%104 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Over26c40.08$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.423066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2960049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf306…4cf8backed Over45c37.78$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Under54c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.36475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+35.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked Under53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7413057.7%75 W · 55 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb6c…43efbacked Under54c37.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.17250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…aa3cbacked Over47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159046.7%42 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Over47c27.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.722147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under75c26.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6165630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x517a…6491backed Under53c25.32$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.832653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.