NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x882a0c8300f18a10b761e3b283c2957d7e35a904c960ed2440e54ceff3f0743d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 51c | 3,483$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.12 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 38c | 3,105$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.45 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1be7…a6e3backed Over | 35c | 1,815$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.05 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Over | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 29cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.99 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 10c | 709.9$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.62 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 19c | 632.67$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.7 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 11c | 475.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 15c | 420$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 259 | 54.4%141 W · 118 L | +34.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Over | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 164 | 29.9%49 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 17c | 337.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.23 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 12c | 337.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 13c | 318.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…d0a8backed Under | 19c | 289.74$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.69 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +164.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 16c | 281.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 21c | 280.56$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.65 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c0…aa95backed Over | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 29c | 197.07$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.16 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Over | 8c | 197$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 33c | 159.26$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.21 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 10c | 135.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…16c4backed Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 20c | 117.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.36 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Over | 32c | 114$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 259 | 44%114 W · 145 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 53c | 106$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 47c | 100.01$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 253 | 40.3%102 W · 151 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3def…a16abacked Over | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…f5d4backed Under | 54c | 98.14$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…e4d1backed Over | 13c | 92.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f12…effbbacked Under | 17c | 84.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.82 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Under | 27c | 79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.67 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Over | 27c | 77.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 15c | 72.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.91 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…c3a9backed Over | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 15c | 68.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 15c | 67.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Over | 31c | 64.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -7.8wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f6…b176backed Over | 25c | 60.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -67%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…2f76backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 32c | 45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac8…9e67backed Over | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b9…6d67backed Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 38 | 94.7%36 W · 2 L | +14.0wins | +0.37per pick | 58cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 76c | 13.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…2a12backed Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Knicks won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 100.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 103.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 201.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 18.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.