TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,932
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,446

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,932 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6157…9fb4backed Under56c2,669$1,500 inWon+$1,168.57963.3%50 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over44c2,000$880 inLost-$8804,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over45c1,234$550 inLost-$549.981,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over46c1,226$562 inLost-$561.720034%68 W · 132 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+28.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over45c624$281 inLost-$280.84355.8%24 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x45b5…2d74backed Under56c589.82$330 inWon+$259.826543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over41c585.26$243 inLost-$242.8817946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Under58c518.5$300 inWon+$218.2712451.6%64 W · 60 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under69c456.43$314 inWon+$141.991,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Under57c431.03$247 inWon+$183.911070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f34…b8f2backed Over44c411.73$181 inLost-$181.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over45c300$134 inLost-$134.432941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over42c291.65$124 inLost-$123.6622753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over42c273.33$115 inLost-$114.8930842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Under56c179.68$100 inWon+$79.6822844.7%102 W · 126 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under56c174.84$98 inWon+$76.933,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Under56c169.64$95 inWon+$74.6430452.6%160 W · 144 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Under57c169.49$97 inWon+$72.5912150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over42c168.17$71 inLost-$70.631,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36dd…bfccbacked Under56c104.86$59 inWon+$45.853100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+95.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Under58c85.17$49 inWon+$35.771154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9d1…6194backed Under58c84.74$49 inWon+$35.593100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+150.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Over44c69$30 inLost-$30.365133.3%17 W · 34 L-8.6wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over47c53.19$25 inLost-$2518150.3%91 W · 90 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over46c51.12$24 inLost-$23.7741038%156 W · 254 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ccf…cd14backed Under60c50.04$30 inWon+$20.053100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+100.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ba0…1803backed Under61c48.64$30 inWon+$18.971553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe75b…3623backed Over49c41.2$20 inLost-$20850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86b9…6d67backed Under56c35.36$20 inWon+$15.563894.7%36 W · 2 L+14.0wins+0.37per pick58cpaid+70.5%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under53c30.3$16 inWon+$14.243259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0297…fcdcbacked Under56c26.79$15 inWon+$11.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5a…f31dbacked Under58c25.67$15 inWon+$10.781154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Under60c23.15$14 inWon+$9.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+22.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.