TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,950
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,363

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,950 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under61c3,620$2,210 inWon+$1,410.2125352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over41c3,000$1,230 inLost-$1,229.9920155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under69c2,128$1,461 inWon+$667.688,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under61c1,249$762 inWon+$487.1564948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over23c1,042$240 inLost-$239.661,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7845…417bbacked Under61c1,000$610 inWon+$3906547.7%31 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over4c817.34$36 inLost-$35.581,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over39c694.82$273 inLost-$272.8930448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over39c575.84$225 inLost-$224.581,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Over7c571$40 inLost-$39.9716429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over39c480.51$188 inLost-$187.765435.2%19 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under79c448.82$353 inWon+$95.61,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over39c420$164 inLost-$163.825954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Over41c262.15$107 inLost-$107.388654.7%47 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd57d…f5d4backed Over24c220.83$53 inLost-$531957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over10c196.83$19 inLost-$19.3518140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over39c179.86$70 inLost-$70.1518653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3aba…74c0backed Under60c166.08$100 inWon+$66.081861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over16c134.27$21 inLost-$21.4853842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…c2e0backed Over40c125$50 inLost-$506648.5%32 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1c6…2d29backed Over24c119.83$29 inLost-$28.764431.8%14 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f13…203abacked Over24c119.83$29 inLost-$28.761952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9632…a379backed Over24c115.03$28 inLost-$27.531546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under59c100.14$59 inWon+$4115759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over38c100$38 inLost-$3810747.7%51 W · 56 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f6…f7e6backed Over24c97.79$23 inLost-$23.471553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Over39c76.92$30 inLost-$3010548.6%51 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over39c71.28$28 inLost-$27.821147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over39c63.87$25 inLost-$24.9116048.8%78 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over39c61.21$24 inLost-$23.8741038%156 W · 254 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under59c54.88$33 inWon+$22.331,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Over39c49.91$20 inLost-$19.682147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under59c48.99$29 inWon+$20.0945251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under61c40.37$25 inWon+$15.7425554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aeb…42d4backed Over39c38$15 inLost-$1527539.6%109 W · 166 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over39c34.41$13 inLost-$13.4252150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over39c28$11 inLost-$10.9218445.7%84 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under61c25.05$15 inWon+$9.7711364.6%73 W · 40 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over40c25$10 inLost-$1033356.2%187 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86b9…6d67backed Under63c20$13 inWon+$7.43894.7%36 W · 2 L+14.0wins+0.37per pick58cpaid+70.5%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.