TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x727d…c2e0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
149
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 58 out of 100; worst Tweets at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT6648.5%32 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$93.91
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.14
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.06
Spread: Warriors (-11.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.76
Spread: Jazz (-4.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.57
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.87
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.89
Spread: Nuggets (-22.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$62.97
Spread: Thunder (-13.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.87
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+105.3%+$61.23
Spread: Pelicans (-7.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$86.1
Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.64
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.53
Spread: Knicks (-16.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$115.68
76ers vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.61
Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$48.5
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Bulls vs. Grizzlies: O/U 243.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+90.6%+$36.23
Spread: Hawks (-14.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+300%+$75
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Nets vs. Lakers: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+121.2%+$42.43
Spread: Warriors (-14.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+108.7%+$27.19
Jazz vs. Nuggetsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT2454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$65
Wild vs. Red Wingsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$110
Penguins vs. Islandersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$119.3
Stars vs. Flyersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Wild vs. Bruinsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Lightning vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Flyers vs. Sharksbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$30.54
Golden Knights vs. Predatorsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Ducks vs. Utahbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
Panthers vs. Flamesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Devils vs. Capitalsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Canadiens vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Rangers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Islanders vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Wild vs. Blackhawksbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$100.67
Sabres vs. Golden Knightsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$70.42
Lightning vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Islanders vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Flames vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$69.65
Ducks vs. Canadiensbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
All 24 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+50.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.56
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+130%+$64.47
Spread: Auburn Tigers (-9.5)backed Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.69
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-12.5)backed Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+91.5%+$22.69
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)backed Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$93.5
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$48.47
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-10.5)backed Northern Iowa Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.78
Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-2.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$46.55
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-11.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$28.57
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.94
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-12.5)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.46
Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-3.5)backed Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$50.3
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$60.58
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$54.77
Spread: Saint Mary's Gaels (-3.5)backed Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.56
All 16 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-37.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-64.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick69cpaid-67.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elche CF win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$54.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympique de Marseille vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.