NHL · resolved market

Wild vs. Red Wings

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb58734b90e1660c90217c8e2509dfcfda7b3d2d065b4d36e3a0fe4ab80628681

Rebuilt 25 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Wildof Wild, Red Wings
Resolved: Apr 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,288,042
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,607,341

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,288,042 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 560 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NHL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9976…67dabacked Wild	55c	273,337$151,251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122,085.68	198	48.5%96 W · 102 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Wild	54c	223,564$120,618 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102,946.14	670	51%342 W · 328 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bec…b215backed Wild	56c	135,536$75,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59,636.02	164	42.7%70 W · 94 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Red Wings	46c	110,586$50,624 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50,623.53	2,664	51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L	+58.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95de…c9b2backed Red Wings	45c	74,993$33,747 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33,746.85	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-2.4wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Red Wings	44c	68,182$30,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,000	243	49.8%121 W · 122 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Wings	46c	64,764$29,792 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,791.56	1,441	49.2%709 W · 732 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Red Wings	44c	64,600$28,319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,318.67	403	51.9%209 W · 194 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Red Wings	39c	38,738$15,301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,300.7	274	48.9%134 W · 140 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Red Wings	44c	20,000$8,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,800	120	47.5%57 W · 63 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1925…4654backed Wild	53c	19,356$10,259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,097.54	116	44.8%52 W · 64 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Red Wings	44c	18,888$8,311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,310.72	218	50.9%111 W · 107 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Red Wings	44c	16,390$7,211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,211.43	49	49%24 W · 25 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec7e…5fddbacked Red Wings	51c	15,320$7,752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,751.98	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked Red Wings	45c	11,950$5,378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,377.5	52	59.6%31 W · 21 L	+5.6wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Wild	54c	10,000$5,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,600	291	46.7%136 W · 155 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Red Wings	44c	10,000$4,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,400	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+2.3wins	+0.14per pick	48cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed Red Wings	45c	9,936$4,471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,471.2	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Red Wings	45c	9,539$4,292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,292.37	485	49.7%241 W · 244 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Red Wings	46c	8,980$4,101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,101.26	1,555	51.4%800 W · 755 L	+12.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Wild	55c	8,559$4,738 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,820.89	1,434	50.8%728 W · 706 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked Red Wings	45c	8,260$3,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,680.4	24	70.8%17 W · 7 L	+3.1wins	+0.13per pick	58cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Red Wings	44c	8,000$3,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,520	115	53%61 W · 54 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3a8…06d9backed Red Wings	45c	7,360$3,312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,312	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19e7…1227backed Red Wings	45c	7,349$3,307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,307.05	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Red Wings	46c	6,439$2,962 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,961.94	521	72.6%378 W · 143 L	+36.7wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Wild	54c	6,300$3,403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,896.52	769	50.3%387 W · 382 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Red Wings	38c	6,191$2,371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,371.2	893	55.5%496 W · 397 L	+67.6wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2bef…3afdbacked Red Wings	26c	5,817$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-3.1wins	-0.24per pick	39cpaid	-58.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Red Wings	45c	5,679$2,556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,555.55	207	56.5%117 W · 90 L	+10.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Red Wings	44c	5,640$2,484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,483.51	594	50.8%302 W · 292 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed Red Wings	46c	5,365$2,468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,468	34	50%17 W · 17 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Wild	54c	5,000$2,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,300	321	51.7%166 W · 155 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Red Wings	44c	5,000$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	249	45.4%113 W · 136 L	-16.4wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Wild	56c	5,000$2,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,200	617	48.5%299 W · 318 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Red Wings	46c	4,872$2,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,259.64	334	50.9%170 W · 164 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Red Wings	46c	4,773$2,190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,189.6	820	43%353 W · 467 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Red Wings	45c	4,767$2,145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,144.57	2,894	51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L	+58.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Red Wings	40c	4,570$1,834 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,833.61	1,679	54.4%914 W · 765 L	+36.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Red Wings	50c	4,556$2,278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,277.78	109	38.5%42 W · 67 L	-9.2wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Red Wings	45c	4,427$1,992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,992.06	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-4.4wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Red Wings	45c	4,400$1,981 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,981.5	170	42.4%72 W · 98 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Red Wings	46c	4,313$1,984 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,983.98	1,384	47.1%652 W · 732 L	+25.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Red Wings	46c	4,309$1,971 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,970.71	665	52%346 W · 319 L	+8.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Wild	71c	4,060$2,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,159.7	270	37.4%101 W · 169 L	-11.6wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a24…4a1fbacked Red Wings	45c	4,026$1,812 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,811.82	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-5.2wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Red Wings	45c	4,000$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,799.99	1,891	52.4%991 W · 900 L	+36.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeca9…f74dbacked Red Wings	45c	3,778$1,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,700	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-5.2wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Red Wings	47c	3,741$1,776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,776.3	896	36.9%331 W · 565 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Red Wings	44c	3,650$1,624 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,624.12	619	50.1%310 W · 309 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab4e…c4a0backed Wild	56c	3,571$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,571.43	42	59.5%25 W · 17 L	+4.6wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Red Wings	46c	3,500$1,610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,610	435	48.5%211 W · 224 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Red Wings	46c	3,500$1,610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,610	278	50.4%140 W · 138 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Red Wings	46c	3,500$1,610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,609.98	602	49.5%298 W · 304 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked Red Wings	45c	3,496$1,573 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,573.2	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Red Wings	8c	3,008$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.15	571	57.8%330 W · 241 L	+12.7wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Red Wings	46c	3,000$1,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,379.99	97	51.5%50 W · 47 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Wild	55c	3,000$1,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,349.89	316	54.7%173 W · 143 L	+14.7wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Red Wings	17c	2,989$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	53	37.7%20 W · 33 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Red Wings	46c	2,766$1,272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,272.36	138	56.5%78 W · 60 L	+11.5wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+32.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa5b…88acbacked Red Wings	47c	2,687$1,263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,263	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Red Wings	45c	2,668$1,201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200.6	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.7wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+27%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Red Wings	45c	2,667$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200.16	44	52.3%23 W · 21 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Red Wings	45c	2,359$1,062 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,061.6	152	45.4%69 W · 83 L	-6.7wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Wild	58c	2,323$1,358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$964.48	2,112	42.9%907 W · 1,205 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Red Wings	51c	2,303$1,175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,174.95	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Red Wings	28c	2,241$629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$629.25	37	21.6%8 W · 29 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	+210.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Wild	54c	2,200$1,188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,012	836	52.8%441 W · 395 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Wild	72c	2,184$1,568 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$616.01	115	51.3%59 W · 56 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Red Wings	46c	2,164$995 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$995.44	91	41.8%38 W · 53 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Red Wings	62c	2,123$1,327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,326.74	126	54.8%69 W · 57 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Red Wings	57c	2,100$1,208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,207.5	164	46.3%76 W · 88 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Red Wings	45c	2,071$932 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$932	249	52.2%130 W · 119 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Red Wings	45c	2,024$920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$920.2	112	43.8%49 W · 63 L	-8.6wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5396…61a9backed Wild	44c	2,004$887 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,117.11	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Red Wings	48c	2,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960	267	50.2%134 W · 133 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Red Wings	45c	2,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07aa…deb1backed Red Wings	48c	2,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960	88	45.5%40 W · 48 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Red Wings	44c	2,000$880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$880	270	48.1%130 W · 140 L	-8.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Red Wings	47c	2,000$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940	204	50%102 W · 102 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Wild	55c	2,000$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$899.92	139	46.8%65 W · 74 L	-6.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Wild	71c	1,965$1,395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$570.23	133	43.6%58 W · 75 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Red Wings	45c	1,930$868 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$868.41	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Red Wings	1c	1,879$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.18	250	4.8%12 W · 238 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+159.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ff…24e3backed Red Wings	47c	1,872$880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$880	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Wild	71c	1,749$1,245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$503.69	109	47.7%52 W · 57 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda6…84c5backed Red Wings	17c	1,658$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.27	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Red Wings	19c	1,580$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.25	109	41.3%45 W · 64 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06ff…8d60backed Red Wings	31c	1,570$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.79	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Red Wings	46c	1,517$697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$697.28	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Wild	49c	1,456$710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$745.81	1,377	49.1%676 W · 701 L	+39.2wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75af…145fbacked Red Wings	51c	1,384$709 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$709	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb23b…503fbacked Wild	36c	1,374$498 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$875.36	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Wild	50c	1,314$657 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$657	1,024	48.4%496 W · 528 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23c7…329fbacked Red Wings	47c	1,309$615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$615	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Red Wings	42c	1,307$554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$553.83	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Red Wings	61c	1,298$792 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$791.56	147	57.1%84 W · 63 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Wild	39c	1,264$492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$772.02	256	35.9%92 W · 164 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Red Wings	44c	1,245$548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$547.93	388	49.5%192 W · 196 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe779…335ebacked Red Wings	50c	1,230$615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$615	44	63.6%28 W · 16 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Wild vs. Red Wings

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event