NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b0eb3a72f25c753be10760665f7281d36b5d67303c15fc2787b05d81490d5f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e65…4994backed Under | 57c | 10,823$6,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,121 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 43c | 4,839$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,758.13 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 4,432$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.34 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 49c | 3,410$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.97 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…247dbacked Over | 76c | 3,174$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 53c | 2,200$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.99 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 25c | 1,349$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.04 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe15b…bff1backed Under | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 44c | 900$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Under | 24c | 873.39$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.61 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 22c | 514.47$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.18 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 48c | 449.31$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.31 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 49c | 426.88$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.31 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 49c | 374.91$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.54 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 372.23$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.29 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 45c | 338.46$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.15 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 59c | 313.08$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.72 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 24c | 306$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Under | 51c | 294$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 47c | 269.47$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.82 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 45c | 255.32$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.41 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 55c | 177$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.35 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Over | 71c | 177$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…62d0backed Under | 30c | 166.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 75c | 117.5$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…e764backed Under | 14c | 113.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked Over | 47c | 101.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 47c | 100.11$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.11 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…3914backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Over | 48c | 87.63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 54.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 44c | 53.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 38c | 53.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…d3fbbacked Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…633bbacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…c2e9backed Under | 43c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…f42bbacked Over | 58c | 46.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…a875backed Under | 48c | 45.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…853bbacked Under | 56c | 44.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Over | 44c | 43.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 47c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…fffdbacked Over | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Over | 46c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…d09cbacked Under | 48c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecd2…38d1backed Over | 45c | 32.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…ec35backed Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 45c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 59c | 26.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 69c | 24.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 55c | 21.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 76c | 18.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 70c | 17.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Wild won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Red Wings won
- Spread: Wild (-2.5)Red Wings won
- Wild vs. Red WingsWild won
- Wild vs. Red Wings: O/U 4.5Over won
- Wild vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5Over won
- Wild vs. Red Wings: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.