Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefb94bb05bb92980f7a3161e07fe092a4eff4856a3a73c3087e0d7457a7b833b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,549 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked No | 60c | 57,495$34,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,998.08 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 40c | 19,794$7,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,917.6 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Yes | 40c | 12,500$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 35c | 8,911$3,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,137.05 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 60c | 8,333$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333.33 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 60c | 7,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 37c | 6,719$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.84 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 40c | 6,371$2,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,545.55 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 60c | 4,611$2,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.79 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 40c | 3,625$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 31c | 3,133$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.57 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Yes | 19c | 2,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 40c | 2,304$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.59 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Yes | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 59c | 1,582$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.46 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 60c | 1,581$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.39 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 60c | 1,390$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.38 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 7c | 1,308$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.68 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 40c | 1,060$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -7.2wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -47%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed No | 61c | 941$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.99 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 807.12$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.85 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397d…32a2backed No | 61c | 800$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ef…e9fabacked Yes | 40c | 760$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd1…96a7backed Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdee0…94c7backed No | 61c | 710$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 40c | 695$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…cd9ebacked Yes | 41c | 670.34$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 40c | 627.5$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 61c | 550$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…02aebacked Yes | 40c | 450$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 25c | 436.86$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.97 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Yes | 40c | 392.17$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.9 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e3…47acbacked Yes | 40c | 367.5$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…bbd3backed No | 63c | 290.25$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.39 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 38c | 288.34$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.57 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 60c | 284$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.6 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked No | 61c | 271$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81e…3640backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked No | 61c | 245$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.55 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8e…962bbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 39c | 237$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.43 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33d8…ad50backed Yes | 40c | 222.5$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 20c | 222.15$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Yes | 39c | 207.79$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…e260backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…0b60backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 29c | 180$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 37c | 176.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.02 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540f…92bebacked No | 61c | 163.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked No | 61c | 137$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 65cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…b81dbacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc85e…5d37backed Yes | 35c | 130.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0163…9aa0backed No | 60c | 130$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 39c | 127$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…e067backed Yes | 40c | 127$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 39c | 127$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 60c | 125.02$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 63c | 115.86$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 39c | 110$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2bd…1469backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0299…5f02backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked No | 59c | 99.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +45%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Yes | 40c | 99.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 60c | 93$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked No | 79c | 92$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60da…ae16backed Yes | 40c | 82.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd71c…20b3backed No | 61c | 82.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked No | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed No | 61c | 81.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…3d96backed No | 61c | 81.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd186…ed6ebacked No | 60c | 72.23$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed No | 79c | 71.96$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 60c | 67.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Yes | 39c | 66.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 205 | 40%82 W · 123 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 27c | 65.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 39c | 65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 40c | 62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 60c | 58.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed Yes | 38c | 52.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f23…6d15backed No | 60c | 51.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 36c | 50.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-03-21?Yes won
- Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.