Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a9fff3573122ad1482bceb2aa650ed5ec10054a37ee89c89880af1f6e27cae9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $205,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,850 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes | 34c | 70,000$23,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,199.98 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked No | 66c | 64,061$42,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,280.56 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 54c | 17,114$9,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,838.71 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed No | 66c | 12,736$8,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,404.56 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 31c | 6,747$2,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.89 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 37c | 6,141$2,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,868.62 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…f2dabacked Yes | 80c | 5,309$4,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 34c | 4,500$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,969.99 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 32c | 3,806$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.99 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 2,443$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.77 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 38c | 2,418$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.13 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.71 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 66c | 1,446$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.16 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 1,333$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.39 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 11c | 1,200$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.75 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…d6b7backed No | 66c | 1,124$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.57 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…cdb2backed Yes | 34c | 800$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 54cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.47 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8aae…419dbacked No | 68c | 762.85$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 34c | 683.53$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.13 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed No | 67c | 675.03$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.27 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed No | 67c | 609.19$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.16 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 57c | 593.84$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.83 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 26c | 589.53$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.28 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 21c | 514.79$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.72 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed No | 66c | 499.86$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.91 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 31c | 433.79$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.35 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 69c | 405.59$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.31 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Yes | 34c | 400$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 48cpaid | +75%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6070…88a8backed No | 22c | 375.13$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.41 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked No | 24c | 372.07$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 25cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 51c | 343.79$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.88 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked No | 30c | 333.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 66c | 326.7$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.62 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed No | 49c | 313.73$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.81 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 34c | 306.91$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.56 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed No | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 49c | 288.35$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.19 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 66c | 286.83$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.31 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked Yes | 37c | 263.15$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.78 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 55c | 255.66$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.26 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed No | 67c | 217.39$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.65 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…e260backed No | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed No | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 38c | 199.86$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.76 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 55c | 197.95$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.68 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 22c | 194.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.29 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…20a5backed Yes | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 34c | 185$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes | 78c | 172.18$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Yes | 34c | 161.76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.76 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 71c | 155.49$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed No | 14c | 151$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a0…379ebacked Yes | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +74%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 76c | 145.05$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 70c | 144.51$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.76 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…33d8backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed No | 46c | 136.79$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 33c | 135.88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.88 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 17c | 133.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 67c | 133.42$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.39 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…0901backed No | 67c | 129.81$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 13c | 124.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed No | 66c | 117.65$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.65 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -7.2wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -47%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc937…8998backed Yes | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +154.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 76c | 115.74$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 27c | 107.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.15 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…a1e8backed No | 67c | 107$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.69 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 66c | 98.73$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed Yes | 34c | 95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed No | 27c | 88.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9757…9191backed Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…fad4backed Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…78d9backed Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 63c | 85$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed No | 33c | 83.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 67c | 81.38$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Yes | 45c | 75.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 66c | 74.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Yes | 34c | 63.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd985…1125backed Yes | 33c | 63.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.93 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…8e43backed No | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…e462backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 63c | 56.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Yes | 34c | 56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…2192backed Yes | 34c | 55.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Yes | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 28c | 50.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +45%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4904…f504backed Yes | 34c | 49.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…078dbacked No | 32c | 48.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 66c | 47.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?No won
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-03-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.