NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Flyers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x143a3422de4bf5989c6cc95edabb225d5ae9898478dbdb9cf9c564773701e9e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Stars, Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,169,522
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,174,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,169,522 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 948 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Stars | 61c | 427,373$260,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260,697.34 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Flyers | 39c | 286,238$111,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174,605.4 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Flyers | 44c | 214,601$93,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120,892.52 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Stars | 60c | 175,031$105,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105,818.56 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Flyers | 39c | 100,000$39,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,999.99 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Stars | 55c | 70,413$38,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,951.66 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Flyers | 39c | 51,500$20,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,415 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Flyers | 38c | 40,728$15,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,151.48 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Stars | 51c | 39,873$20,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,335.37 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Flyers | 39c | 25,000$9,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,250 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Flyers | 41c | 21,627$8,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,755.17 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Stars | 60c | 20,550$12,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,415.39 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Flyers | 39c | 17,920$6,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,931.2 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stars | 46c | 14,834$6,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,893.04 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Stars | 61c | 14,000$8,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,540 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Flyers | 49c | 13,275$6,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,816.5 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Stars | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Flyers | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,100 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Stars | 60c | 9,502$5,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,706.09 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Flyers | 41c | 9,200$3,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,428 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Stars | 52c | 9,000$4,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,660 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Flyers | 39c | 7,804$3,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,727.92 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…098abacked Stars | 61c | 7,541$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd3…41f8backed Flyers | 41c | 7,244$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,243.93 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Flyers | 41c | 7,110$2,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,188.42 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Flyers | 39c | 6,997$2,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,258.43 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Stars | 61c | 6,707$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Flyers | 39c | 6,666$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,066.26 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Stars | 61c | 5,937$3,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,621.65 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…8bb9backed Flyers | 41c | 5,847$2,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,449.69 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.38per pick | 51cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Flyers | 38c | 5,759$2,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,581.52 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Flyers | 39c | 5,728$2,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,494.21 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…29abbacked Flyers | 41c | 5,689$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,356.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Flyers | 39c | 5,675$2,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,464.41 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Flyers | 40c | 5,175$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,089 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked Flyers | 67c | 5,035$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.13 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Flyers | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Stars | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.99 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a65…9142backed Stars | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.98 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Flyers | 39c | 4,952$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,020.5 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…5177backed Stars | 61c | 4,950$2,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,995 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Flyers | 40c | 4,860$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,915.98 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Flyers | 40c | 4,800$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Flyers | 40c | 4,800$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.96 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Flyers | 61c | 4,610$2,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.07 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Stars | 63c | 4,605$2,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,912.31 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Flyers | 40c | 4,500$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.96 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…f6aabacked Flyers | 39c | 4,444$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,710.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Flyers | 37c | 4,318$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,712.14 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Stars | 63c | 3,985$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Flyers | 60c | 3,882$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.54 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Stars | 58c | 3,868$2,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.36 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Flyers | 39c | 3,867$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,358.87 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…aa59backed Flyers | 41c | 3,847$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,269.44 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.8wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8043…5f89backed Flyers | 41c | 3,790$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Stars | 61c | 3,750$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,287.59 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Stars | 62c | 3,685$2,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,273.28 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Stars | 49c | 3,316$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.92 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Stars | 61c | 3,278$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.58 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Stars | 62c | 3,258$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.61 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc9…1146backed Stars | 60c | 3,136$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24cb…010dbacked Flyers | 41c | 3,115$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa224…3e32backed Flyers | 41c | 3,079$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Flyers | 64c | 3,022$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.32 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…bd29backed Stars | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Stars | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.98 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Flyers | 39c | 2,999$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fc…cbb5backed Stars | 60c | 2,901$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Flyers | 65c | 2,900$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.39 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Stars | 62c | 2,812$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.51 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6824…9721backed Stars | 60c | 2,810$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,686.14 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Stars | 61c | 2,781$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.27 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Stars | 52c | 2,698$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.7 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59dd…70dcbacked Stars | 60c | 2,689$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6838…f783backed Flyers | 39c | 2,664$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cf…cf82backed Stars | 60c | 2,643$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ef…190abacked Stars | 60c | 2,518$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x389f…6079backed Stars | 60c | 2,475$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…b202backed Flyers | 39c | 2,430$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.3 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37fd…0c68backed Stars | 61c | 2,227$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Stars | 59c | 2,222$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.98 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Flyers | 39c | 2,200$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.69 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…6b3bbacked Stars | 60c | 2,191$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Stars | 61c | 2,100$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Flyers | 40c | 2,093$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.44 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5be…5c26backed Stars | 60c | 2,062$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf3…5d0fbacked Stars | 60c | 2,061$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flyers | 43c | 2,055$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.92 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a7…3845backed Flyers | 39c | 2,037$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Flyers | 38c | 2,006$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.28 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Stars | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Stars | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Flyers | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Flyers | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Flyers | 41c | 2,000$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.98 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5334…91fcbacked Stars | 60c | 1,942$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Flyers | 39c | 1,895$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.95 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Stars | 48c | 1,870$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.72 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Flyers | 44c | 1,829$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.73 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Stars | 42c | 1,780$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.55 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Flyersthis page
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Flyers won
- Stars vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Stars vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Stars vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Stars vs. Flyers: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.