NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7747ab9c4c9d0a6cc5c95b2189cae73ddfa0d40154c648ad3f4ad34f3fb17ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,068
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,068 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Over | 54c | 11,000$5,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,940 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 46c | 5,301$2,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.45 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 46c | 4,442$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,398.73 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.99 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 13c | 2,264$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.55 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.96 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Under | 46c | 1,087$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.85 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 47c | 1,063$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.2 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 1,019$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Over | 53c | 650$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.5 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 79c | 563.23$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.57 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Under | 47c | 552.97$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.07 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60f…9fcbbacked Under | 47c | 352.57$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…0ee2backed Under | 47c | 348.85$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b7…2896backed Under | 47c | 347.81$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…e85bbacked Under | 47c | 346.66$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…c3fbbacked Over | 54c | 345.77$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…f49cbacked Under | 47c | 345.41$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81c6…bc34backed Over | 54c | 345.06$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19c6…0910backed Over | 54c | 342.35$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce3d…96f9backed Over | 54c | 338.97$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2695…2642backed Over | 54c | 335.41$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 53c | 209$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.77 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 53c | 142.52$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.11 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Under | 46c | 123.87$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.89 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 118.11$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.65 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…ff92backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…552cbacked Over | 53c | 94.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Under | 46c | 92.87$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…9c06backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 87.05$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 12c | 82.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 47c | 81$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 68.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 35c | 57.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 53c | 51.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 52c | 34.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270d…a696backed Under | 48c | 31.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 47c | 30.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 53c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 64c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Under | 50c | 24.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 149 | 63.8%95 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…f266backed Over | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 48c | 21.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 227 | 59.5%135 W · 92 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0f…4c84backed Over | 54c | 19.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Flyers won
- Stars vs. FlyersFlyers won
- Stars vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Stars vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Stars vs. Flyers: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.