Bundesliga · resolved market
1. FC Köln vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6cbdc17eaa802f49c704dab3351f2af2f739c63850bb5ab1bd625fbffc52756
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,160,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,160,899 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 51c | 508,875$259,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259,515.82 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Over | 50c | 391,270$196,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194,718 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Under | 50c | 99,946$49,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,580.38 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 74,970$39,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,953.8 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 68,018$33,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,664.05 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 51c | 62,883$31,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,794.19 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Over | 49c | 60,000$29,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,600 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Over | 49c | 55,891$27,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,504.41 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Over | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 52c | 26,296$13,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,604.11 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 21,310$10,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,551.34 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Under | 49c | 20,204$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 49c | 15,918$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Over | 50c | 14,061$7,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,985.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 50c | 14,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Under | 33c | 10,000$3,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,306.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 50c | 9,861$4,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,930.59 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 9,740$4,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,803.82 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 8,016$3,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,088.16 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 51c | 7,996$4,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,057.99 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Under | 49c | 7,949$3,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,895 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc540…f7e5backed Over | 49c | 7,143$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,642.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Over | 49c | 7,003$3,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,571.53 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 50c | 6,532$3,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,266 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Over | 50c | 6,250$3,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,125 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 49c | 6,203$3,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,151.5 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Under | 49c | 5,306$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Over | 50c | 5,217$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,617.29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 5,062$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.54 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -66%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 50c | 4,714$2,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,357.14 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…9b55backed Over | 51c | 4,600$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,254.12 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 50c | 4,550$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,275.14 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 50c | 4,201$2,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 49c | 3,165$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.24 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 49c | 3,067$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.17 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 49c | 2,872$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.74 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b97…0d79backed Under | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Under | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.37per pick | 49cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef7d…a3f0backed Over | 49c | 2,082$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 1,999$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.62 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1462…ef6bbacked Over | 51c | 1,972$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 49c | 1,841$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.16 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 67c | 1,815$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.48 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 1,371$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.87 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Under | 51c | 1,354$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.77 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Under | 51c | 1,307$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 49c | 1,198$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -6.7wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…d2f0backed Under | 50c | 1,147$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.28 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 43c | 1,100$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 48c | 1,077$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.8 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 50c | 1,037$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.5 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb1…0d66backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Over | 51c | 809.55$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.55 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Under | 50c | 690$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 75c | 669.72$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.72 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 51c | 666.67$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.67 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 49c | 653.06$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.06 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908e…2291backed Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 49c | 608.85$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.16 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…3462backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under | 50c | 505.74$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Over | 50c | 489.08$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.4 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 41c | 388$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.08 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 49c | 374.77$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.53 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Under | 51c | 341.24$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.03 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 50c | 324$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 50c | 322.5$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.25 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 50c | 320.9$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.45 | 164 | 64%105 W · 59 L | +28.5wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x20b1…69d2backed Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +73%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Under | 9c | 288.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 38cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd12c…f2d4backed Under | 50c | 258.98$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 51c | 250.98$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.98 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…c48fbacked Under | 9c | 250.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Over | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 48cpaid | +75%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 49c | 250$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Under | 50c | 245$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…8e43backed Over | 49c | 216.15$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 49c | 210$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 24c | 204.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed Over | 49c | 200$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.33 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 49c | 195.8$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.94 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1. FC Köln vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5this page
- 1. FC Köln vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- 1. FC Köln vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5Over won
- 1. FC Köln vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5Over won
- 1. FC Köln vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: 1. FC Köln (-1.5)Borussia Mönchengladbach won
- Spread: 1. FC Köln (-2.5)Borussia Mönchengladbach won
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)1. FC Köln won
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-2.5)1. FC Köln won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.