Bundesliga · resolved market
1. FC Köln vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf71748eddc182234be357d04c4175b81cab3ae40827b0c6f37bf93e54b644b08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,284 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 828.51$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.05 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 36c | 799.64$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.8 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked No | 2c | 699.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 41c | 438.77$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.67 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 44c | 372.63$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.78 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked No | 4c | 299.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Yes | 56c | 270$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 48cpaid | +75%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7aab…15c5backed Yes | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 79c | 253.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.07 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 7c | 230.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…0912backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 55c | 129.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…2c2cbacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 36c | 88.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 40c | 83.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 75.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 43c | 61.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 43c | 49.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 65c | 43.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 58c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1828…6946backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a95…5e45backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 59c | 30.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b62…1924backed Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82d…7199backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…b2fcbacked Yes | 57c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1. FC Köln vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- 1. FC Köln vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5Over won
- 1. FC Köln vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5Over won
- 1. FC Köln vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5Over won
- 1. FC Köln vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: 1. FC Köln (-1.5)Borussia Mönchengladbach won
- Spread: 1. FC Köln (-2.5)Borussia Mönchengladbach won
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)1. FC Köln won
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-2.5)1. FC Köln won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.