NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78ba9af886f8fa082a58e274ad5e2b5d6258a88830e4e031a775720cc82d81d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $226,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $244,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 50c | 47,804$23,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,684.18 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Over | 52c | 46,984$24,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,272.02 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 30,250$14,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,631.8 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Under | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 51c | 17,036$8,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,431.24 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Over | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Under | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 51c | 6,400$3,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,152.05 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e18…bddfbacked Under | 49c | 4,873$2,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,485.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 36c | 4,310$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.92 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 60c | 4,247$2,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.93 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…7170backed Under | 50c | 3,938$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.1 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +39%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Over | 54c | 3,904$2,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108.35 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 52c | 3,679$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.82 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 48c | 2,735$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.39 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 2,487$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.08 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 2,320$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.12 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 2,236$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.25 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Under | 49c | 2,168$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.62 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb9…f08bbacked Under | 47c | 1,994$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…312ebacked Under | 41c | 1,866$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.31 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba12…6a47backed Under | 47c | 1,856$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 64c | 1,719$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.6 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 71c | 1,653$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.44 | 604 | 44.2%267 W · 337 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5e…1a04backed Over | 2c | 1,345$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2571…a49abacked Under | 50c | 1,288$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 50c | 1,260$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.15 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 53c | 1,224$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.93 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 1,183$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.26 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 1,043$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.82 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…9872backed Under | 50c | 970$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 50c | 940$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Under | 51c | 915.18$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.79 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 53c | 900$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 50c | 867.18$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.59 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 49c | 737.72$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.47 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 734.35$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.47 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 54c | 721.29$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.61 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 50c | 656.47$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.24 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 51c | 634.52$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.97 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 51c | 633.92$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.76 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 39c | 618.91$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.45 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Under | 50c | 539.32$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.66 | 240 | 44.6%107 W · 133 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 54c | 533.22$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.88 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 50c | 516.72$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.94 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Under | 43c | 501.52$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.83 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 48c | 498.24$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.08 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 54c | 487.21$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.1 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…d708backed Under | 34c | 456.08$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.35 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Under | 44c | 439.27$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x406d…5298backed Over | 73c | 404.56$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.13 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 46c | 326.97$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.89 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Under | 46c | 322.63$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.22 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa81d…7447backed Under | 61c | 320.2$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.88 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 49c | 318.83$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.21 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 48c | 315.38$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.87 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over | 51c | 305.46$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.86 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 50c | 296.85$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.9 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Over | 51c | 291.18$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under | 50c | 291$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 48c | 287.54$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.46 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Under | 50c | 278.79$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.58 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 50c | 274.5$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.94 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 50c | 273.19$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.6 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Under | 50c | 256.08$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.04 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 50c | 253.92$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.72 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 253.72$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.93 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Under | 50c | 251.24$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.62 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 50c | 246.58$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.61 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 55c | 244.21$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.03 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b4…44d0backed Over | 52c | 229.36$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.61 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Over | 52c | 224.12$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.54 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Over | 54c | 213.93$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.52 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 52c | 210.01$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.18 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 52c | 207.81$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.12 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Under | 48c | 206.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 47c | 200.17$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.38 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4efc…6391backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x515e…3fb9backed Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…f851backed Over | 53c | 183.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 54c | 180.32$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.23 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Under | 48c | 180$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Under | 46c | 179.16$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.95 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x199a…b9d4backed Under | 37c | 168.77$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Over | 77c | 166.45$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.1 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…13d3backed Over | 54c | 162.07$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.52 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 50c | 159.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.52 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 50c | 152.91$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.46 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 50c | 146.61$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.81 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 233.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Hawks won
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Hawks won
- Hawks vs. MagicHawks won
- Hawks vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Hawks vs. Magic: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 232.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 234.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 235.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 236.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 238.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 239.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 241.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 242.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 243.5Under won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Hawks (-12.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-16.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-17.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-18.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-20.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-24.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-3.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.